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NVT·nVent Electric plc

$146.44
-0.20 (-0.14%)
High
$151.12
Open
$151.12
Market Cap
23.73B
52W High
$187.11
Low
$146.40
P. Close
$146.44
P/E
39.67
52W Low
$93.22
Fwd P/E
22.70
DailyIQ Est.
$216.10
Inst. Ownership
46.6%
Short Interest
2.16%
Days to Cover
1.2
Technical Score (1D)
18
SELL
News Sentiment
69
BULLISH
nVent Electric (NVT) raised its full‑year sales and EPS guidance after a Q4 earnings beat that saw revenue jump 52 % YoY to $1.5 billion and adjusted EPS rise to $1.45, driven by a surge in data‑center solutions demand linked to the broader AI buildout. The stronger-than‑expected performance and guidance upgrade signal that the company’s core product mix is gaining traction, which should support near‑term upside as the AI‑driven infrastructure spend continues to accelerate. Because the company’s revenue growth is largely tied to high‑margin data‑center components, any slowdown in that sector could quickly erode the upside, so investors should monitor AI‑related capital‑expenditure announcements from major cloud providers. The Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) reinforces the bullish sentiment, suggesting that analysts expect continued momentum over the next 1–10 trading days. Watch for the company’s next earnings release to confirm whether the guidance lift translates into sustained quarterly growth, and keep an eye on any updates to its supply‑chain capacity that could affect production timelines. Additionally, monitor broader market sentiment toward technology infrastructure stocks, as a shift could impact NVT’s valuation multiples.
Earnings Summary
nVent Electric plc is a global provider of electrical connection and protection solutions, operating through Enclosures and Electrical & Fastening Solutions segments. In Q1 2025, the company generated revenue of $809.3 m and EPS of $0.67, slightly above estimates. Q1 2026 revenue rose to $1.242 bn and EPS to $1.09, beating guidance, while Q2 2026 revenue reached $1.471 bn and EPS jumped to $1.45, a 69% increase over the prior year. Historically, nVent has shown strong YoY revenue growth, with a 53% jump in Q2 2026, driven by robust data‑center demand. The company has consistently outperformed analyst EPS estimates in the past three quarters, indicating solid profitability. Recent news highlights a $1.75 bn acquisition of Maverick Power, adding $550 m in earn‑outs and expanding the data‑center power distribution footprint, which is expected to be accretive to earnings in the first year post‑closing. Investors should watch the integration timeline and earn‑out milestones for Maverick Power, as well as any guidance updates in the next earnings release, to gauge the acquisition’s impact on revenue and margin expansion.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.55$0.80$1.06$1.31$1.57Q1'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.39 - -
Q2'26$1.17$1.45+23.8%
Q1'26$0.95$1.09+14.7%
Q1'25$0.66$0.67+0.8%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$710M$925M$1.1B$1.4B$1.6BQ1'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.4B - -
Q2'26$1.3B$1.5B+15.7%
Q1'26$1.1B$1.2B+10.8%
Q1'25 - $809M -

Market Data

NVT Stock Snapshot

SELL18/100
$146.44$0.20 (0.1%)
Market cap
23.73B
P/E ratio
39.7
Day range
$146.40 – $151.12
News sentiment
69/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$204.07 (+39.4%)
Consensus
Buy · 24 analysts
52-week range+57.1% off low · -21.7% from high
$93.22$187.11
Price $146.44 DailyIQ Est. $216.10

NVT's technical picture is under pressure, with momentum working against price. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into NVT?

RICH

At today's price, nVent Electric plc needs to grow free cash flow about 50.9% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 11.70% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 4.8% a year, so the market is asking for 46.1 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis NVT looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
50.9%
Historical FCF CAGR
4.8%
Growth gap
+46.1 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
11.70%
Beta
1.43

Behaviour On Record

What NVT's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
61.1% 94th pct
Below its peak
-20.4%
vs 200-day average
+7.3%
Up days (1y)
55%

nVent Electric plc is currently running 61.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against NVT's own 8 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 94th percentile an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 31.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

NVT is trading -20.4% below its running peak. Across 7 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -29.1%, and the deepest was -56.2% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +7.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 45th percentile close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year NVT closed higher on 55% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 9 years of records, NVT finished the month higher 4 of 9 times, with a median return of -3.7% and an average of +0.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +6.5% on average, its weakest March at -4.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: NVT has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 180 of 2,114 sessions (8.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.0% and -13.3%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 2,115 daily closes between 2018-04-17 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against NVT's own 8-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of NVT's sector?

nVent Electric plc sits in the Technology sector, currently ranked 6th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging). Within its narrower Semiconductors industry group, NVT ranks 13th of 15 tracked industries, lagging.

Sector rank
#6 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
50
Industry rank
#13 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for NVT?

CallsPuts

For nVent Electric plc's nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 3 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.56), with at-the-money implied volatility around 63.6%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±5.2% move by that expiry — a range of about $139.34–$154.50.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.56
ATM implied volatility
63.6%
Total open interest
6,009
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±5.2% ($139.34–$154.50)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on NVT?

Roth Capital most recently reiterated its rating on nVent Electric plc to Buy on Aug 25, 2026 with a price target of $210 (from $195). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Roth CapitalBuy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 25, 2026Roth CapitalReiteratedBuy$195 → $210
Aug 3, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$203 → $215
Aug 3, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$193 → $200
Aug 3, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedOutperform$190 → $210
Aug 3, 2026BairdMaintainedOutperform$188 → $200
Jul 24, 2026Roth CapitalReiteratedBuy$185
Jul 16, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$180 → $193
Jul 16, 2026BairdInitiatedOutperform$188
May 5, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$152 → $187
May 4, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$164 → $200
May 4, 2026Goldman SachsMaintainedBuy$150 → $187
May 4, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedOutperform$160 → $190

NVT Competitive Positioning

nVent Electric plc (NVT) is tracked alongside these names in Electrical Equipment & Parts on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.