DailyIQ
Last updated2 minutes ago

PR·Permian Resources Corporation Class A

$22.76
-0.44 (-1.90%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$22.82+0.06 (+0.26%)
High
$23.35
Open
$23.24
Market Cap
19.43B
52W High
$24.65
Low
$22.75
P. Close
$22.76
P/E
15.74
52W Low
$11.87
Fwd P/E
10.24
DailyIQ Est.
$27.92
Inst. Ownership
1.8%
Short Interest
2.32%
Days to Cover
1.9
Technical Score (1D)
45
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
54
MIXED
Permian Resources’ share price remains low relative to its 371 % cumulative return over the past five years, a fact that has prompted analysts to question whether current earnings can justify the implied valuation. The company’s business model hinges on converting its Permian Basin production into repeatable earnings, and the next price move will likely hinge on the durability of that earnings stream rather than a new catalyst. Because the dividend policy is unchanged, the $0.16 per‑share payout announced 20 hours ago will be paid on September 30, 2026, with an ex‑dividend date of September 16, 2026, reinforcing the company’s commitment to steady cash flow. The dividend timing provides a short‑term cash‑flow anchor that may support the stock if earnings remain stable. Investors should monitor the upcoming earnings guidance and production growth figures, as any decline in output or margin compression could erode the repeatable earnings narrative and weigh on valuation. Additionally, watch for any updates on Permian Basin regulatory or tax changes that could affect operating costs. The market implication is that if earnings hold, the stock may continue to trade at a premium to its historical performance; if not, the valuation debate could intensify. Keep an eye on the next earnings release for clarity on whether the high price‑to‑earnings multiple can be sustained.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.26$0.34$0.42$0.50$0.58Q3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.54 - -
Q3'25$0.29$0.37+26.1%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.3B$1.4B$1.5B$1.6B$1.8BQ3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.7B - -
Q3'25 - $1.3B -

Market Data

PR Stock Snapshot

HOLD45/100
$22.82+$0.06 (0.3%)
Market cap
19.43B
P/E ratio
15.7
Day range
$22.75 – $23.35
News sentiment
54/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$27.00 (+18.3%)
Consensus
Buy · 33 analysts
52-week range+92.2% off low · -7.4% from high
$11.87$24.65
Price $22.82 DailyIQ Est. $27.92

Momentum has flattened on PR, leaving the next move dependent on news rather than the chart. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Behaviour On Record

What PR's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
37.6% 38th pct
Below its peak
-7.2%
vs 200-day average
+19.7%
Up days (1y)
54%

Permian Resources Corporation Class A is currently running 37.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against PR's own 10 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 38th percentile on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 44.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

PR is trading -7.2% below its running peak. Across 9 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -43.8%, and the deepest was -95.4% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +19.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 73rd percentile a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year PR closed higher on 54% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 11 years of records, PR finished the month higher 4 of 11 times, with a median return of -4.6% and an average of +1.5%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +30.2% on average, its weakest March at -8.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: PR has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 369 of 2,591 sessions (14.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +15.7% and -15.1%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 2,592 daily closes between 2016-04-15 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against PR's own 10-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of PR's sector?

Permian Resources Corporation Class A sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 2nd of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#2 of 11
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
80

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for PR?

CallsPuts

For Permian Resources Corporation Class A's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 27 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.08), with at-the-money implied volatility around 44.1%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±12.1% move by that expiry — a range of about $20.18–$25.72.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.08
ATM implied volatility
44.1%
Total open interest
54,401
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±12.1% ($20.18–$25.72)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on PR?

Keybanc most recently reiterated its rating on Permian Resources Corporation Class A to Overweight on Sep 15, 2026 with a price target of $28 (from $25). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
KeybancOverweight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 15, 2026KeybancMaintainedOverweight$25 → $28
Sep 14, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$24 → $29
Sep 3, 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatedBuy$29
Aug 13, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$26 → $27
Aug 10, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$22 → $24
Jul 17, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$25 → $24
Jul 15, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$26 → $24
Jul 13, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$25 → $22
Jun 29, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$25 → $24
Jun 23, 2026Evercore ISI GroupInitiatedOutperform$25
Jun 17, 2026Raymond JamesMaintainedStrong Buy$29 → $26
May 27, 2026MizuhoMaintainedOutperform$26 → $27