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RRX·Regal Rexnord Corporation

$166.43
+5.17 (+3.21%)
After Hours
High
$169.72
Open
$162.52
Market Cap
10.59B
52W High
$254.00
Low
$162.24
P. Close
$166.43
P/E
32.68
52W Low
$127.96
Fwd P/E
12.40
DailyIQ Est.
$248.75
Inst. Ownership
0.2%
Short Interest
5.28%
Days to Cover
2.7
Technical Score (1D)
50
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
50
MIXED
On Oct 5, 2026, Regal Rexnord Corporation announced that it would release its third‑quarter 2026 financial results before the market opened on Nov. 3, 2026. The company scheduled a conference call at 9:00 a.m. CT (10:00 a.m. ET) to discuss the results and provided multiple ways for investors to listen live or replay the session. The call details, including dial‑in numbers and webcast links, were made available on the RRX investor website and will remain accessible for three months after the event. This announcement simply informs investors of the upcoming earnings release and does not indicate any change in guidance or performance expectations.
LOW TARGET
$216 +29.8%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$242 +45.6%
6 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$275 +65.3%
10 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$216.00 - $275.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
5/9/2/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$248.75 (+49.5%)
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
7,357 shares
$1.4M
Long KevinEVP and President, AMC*
Tax Withholding265 shares2026-09-02
Klossner MarkEVP and Pres. IPS*
Tax Withholding131 shares2026-08-14
Long KevinEVP and President, AMC*
Tax Withholding261 shares2026-08-14
Scarpelli Alexander PSVP, Corp. Controller and CAO*
Sell170 shares2026-08-10
Morton Jerrald RExecutive Vice President
Award/Grant12.383 shares2026-07-14
68/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✕Revenue declining year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
37.4%
Net Margin
4.7%
Revenue CAGR
7.2%
Current Ratio
2.15x
Debt / Equity
0.70x
Return on Equity
4.1%

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$2.49$2.54$2.59$2.64$2.69Q3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.67 - -
Q3'25$2.53$2.51-1.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.5B$1.5B$1.5B$1.6B$1.6BQ3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.6B - -
Q3'25 - $1.5B -

Market Data

RRX Stock Snapshot

NEUTRAL50/100
$166.36−$0.07 (0.0%)
Market cap
10.59B
P/E ratio
32.7
Day range
$162.24 – $169.72
News sentiment
50/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$242.20 (+45.6%)
Consensus
Buy · 18 analysts
52-week range+30.0% off low · -34.5% from high
$127.96$254.00
Price $166.36 DailyIQ Est. $248.75

Momentum has flattened on RRX, leaving the next move dependent on news rather than the chart. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into RRX?

FAIR

At today's price, Regal Rexnord Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 7.9% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 10.10% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 9.5% a year, so the market is asking for 1.6 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis RRX looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.

Implied FCF growth
7.9%
Historical FCF CAGR
9.5%
Growth gap
-1.6 pts
Verdict
FAIR
Discount rate (WACC)
10.10%
Beta
1.35

Behaviour On Record

What RRX's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
28.4% 52nd pct
Below its peak
-34.0%
vs 200-day average
-14.5%
Up days (1y)
51%

Regal Rexnord Corporation is currently running 28.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against RRX's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 52nd percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 27.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

RRX is trading -34.0% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -25.6%, and the deepest was -43.7% in 2025. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -14.5% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 9th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year RRX closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, RRX finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.2% and an average of -0.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.9% on average, its weakest March at -3.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: RRX has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 203 of 3,267 sessions (6.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +15.3% and -12.7%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against RRX's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of RRX's sector?

Regal Rexnord Corporation sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 5th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#5 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
55

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for RRX?

CallsPuts

For Regal Rexnord Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 10 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 1.38), with at-the-money implied volatility around 46.1%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±7.2% move by that expiry — a range of about $153.53–$177.25.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
1.38
ATM implied volatility
46.1%
Total open interest
1,815
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±7.2% ($153.53–$177.25)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on RRX?

Keybanc most recently reiterated its rating on Regal Rexnord Corporation to Overweight on Aug 6, 2026 with a price target of $240 (from $265). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Keybanc — Overweight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 6, 2026KeybancMaintainedOverweight$265 → $240
Jul 20, 2026Deutsche BankInitiatedBuy$286
Jul 14, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$240 → $260
Jun 16, 2026DA DavidsonInitiatedBuy$260
May 26, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$230 → $240
May 7, 2026KeybancMaintainedOverweight$255 → $265
Apr 13, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$230 → $240
Mar 23, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$237 → $245
Feb 10, 2026KeybancMaintainedOverweight$200 → $255
Feb 9, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$180 → $230
Feb 9, 2026Goldman SachsMaintainedBuy$170 → $230
Feb 9, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$165 → $237

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

50/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MIXED

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

9 articles
What did this article say?
Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) announced that it will release its third quarter 2026 financial results before the market open on November 3, 2026. The company will host a conference call at 9:00 a.m. CT to discuss the results. Investors can listen live or via webcast, and a replay will be available afterward.
What did this article say?
Regal Rexnord (RRX) published its 2025 Sustainability Report, outlining advances toward carbon neutrality and detailing how ESG initiatives underpin its long‑term growth strategy. The report highlights product innovation that boosts customer energy efficiency, a diverse and engaged workforce, and robust governance practices. While the disclosures reinforce RRX’s commitment to sustainability, they do not signal a material shift in financial outlook or immediate catalysts.
What did this article say?
Regal Rexnord’s share price sits at $148.05, prompting a valuation review against its projected cash flows. The article compares the company’s 13.7% five‑year return to its 30.4x P/E ratio, suggesting a potential overvaluation relative to cash generation. It highlights the importance of how much cash is reinvested versus returned to shareholders, which could alter the intrinsic value. The piece urges investors to benchmark RRX against other undervalued peers to assess whether the discount is justified. Overall, the analysis signals a mild headwind, questioning the current price level without definitive evidence of a material mispricing.
What did this article say?
Regal Rexnord (RRX) is under scrutiny after analysts highlighted two years of declining sales and stagnant organic growth. The company’s annual revenue fell 2.4% each year, and it has yet to demonstrate any meaningful expansion without relying on acquisitions. Capital returns have lagged industry peers, suggesting management struggles to identify profitable investment opportunities. These factors raise doubts about RRX’s ability to sustain its current valuation and may prompt a reassessment of its upside potential.
What did this article say?
Regal Rexnord (RRX) meets the Decent Value criteria with a low valuation and solid margins, suggesting a potential buying opportunity. However, the company faces health-related risks that could impact future earnings. This assessment highlights a mild positive outlook but with cautionary notes on potential downside.
What did this article say?
Regal Rexnord (RRX) is cited as a cautionary example amid a frenzy over a Chinese robotics IPO that drew 8,000‑fold oversubscription. The article notes RRX’s recent post‑earnings sell‑off, suggesting short‑term weakness for the company. However, the broader narrative frames robotics as a long‑term growth theme, implying potential upside for RRX if it can capitalize on the sector’s momentum.
What did this article say?
Regal Rexnord posted Q2 results that outpaced analysts, with revenue beating estimates and guidance rising 1.6% for the next quarter. The company’s power‑transmission and automation products benefited from broader industrial demand and a shift toward connected equipment. Despite the positive earnings, the stock price remained flat, reflecting a broader market that is cautious amid economic cycle sensitivity.
What did this article say?
Regal Rexnord released its Q2 2026 results showing higher sales and net income, but trimmed full‑year GAAP EPS guidance. The company’s share price fell 13% over 7 days and 17% over 30 days, yet year‑to‑date returns remain positive. Analysts view the pullback as a buying opportunity, with a fair‑value estimate of $252.4 per share.
End of results

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

50
NEUTRAL
Technical indicators reflect the latest computed signal mix for this timeframe.
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
1 tracked managers · $30.26M combined position · 0 adding, 0 trimming, 1 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
Citadel Advisors LLC• Hold127,0510.20%$30.26M2026-09-02
Q2 2026 flow:127.1K sh bought ($30.26M)0 sh sold ($0)net +127.1K sh (+$30.26M)