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RRX·Regal Rexnord Corporation

$157.07
-6.21 (-3.80%)
After Hours
High
$163.33
Open
$160.79
Market Cap
10.91B
52W High
$254.00
Low
$154.07
P. Close
$157.07
P/E
33.67
52W Low
$127.96
Fwd P/E
12.64
DailyIQ Est.
$239.87
Inst. Ownership
49.7%
Short Interest
5.59%
Days to Cover
3.3
Div. Yield
0.89%
Next Ex-Div
~Dec 31
Technical Score (1D)
59
BULLISH
News Sentiment
43
BEARISH
On Oct 9, JP Morgan analyst Tomohiko Sano lowered Regal Rexnord’s price target from $240 to $196 while keeping an Overweight rating. The adjustment reflected concerns about the company’s earnings outlook and competitive pressures in the industrial automation sector. The downgrade signals a modest negative view on RRX’s near‑term valuation, though the rating itself remains positive. Investors may interpret the target cut as a warning that RRX’s growth prospects are less robust than previously thought. The move was reported by JP Morgan on Oct 9.
LOW TARGET
$196 +24.8%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$231 +47.1%
6 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$275 +75.1%
10 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$196.00 - $275.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
5/9/2/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$239.87 (+52.7%)
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
7,682 shares
$1.5M
Dickson Timothy A.SVP & Chief Digi & Info Ofc*
Tax Withholding325 shares2026-10-09
Long KevinEVP and President, AMC*
Tax Withholding265 shares2026-09-02
Klossner MarkEVP and Pres. IPS*
Tax Withholding131 shares2026-08-14
Long KevinEVP and President, AMC*
Tax Withholding261 shares2026-08-14
Scarpelli Alexander PSVP, Corp. Controller and CAO*
Sell170 shares2026-08-10
68/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✕Revenue declining year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
37.4%
Net Margin
4.7%
Revenue CAGR
7.2%
Current Ratio
2.15x
Debt / Equity
0.70x
Return on Equity
4.1%

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$2.49$2.54$2.59$2.64$2.69Q3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.67 - -
Q3'25$2.53$2.51-1.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.5B$1.5B$1.5B$1.6B$1.6BQ3'25Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.6B - -
Q3'25 - $1.5B -

Market Data

RRX Stock Snapshot

NEUTRAL59/100
$157.06−$0.01 (0.0%)
Market cap
10.91B
P/E ratio
33.7
Day range
$154.07 – $163.33
News sentiment
43/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$231.10 (+47.1%)
Consensus
Buy · 18 analysts
52-week range+22.7% off low · -38.2% from high
$127.96$254.00
Price $157.06 DailyIQ Est. $239.87

Momentum has flattened on RRX, leaving the next move dependent on news rather than the chart. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into RRX?

FAIR

At today's price, Regal Rexnord Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 8.2% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 10.12% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 9.5% a year, so the market is asking for 1.3 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis RRX looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.

Implied FCF growth
8.2%
Historical FCF CAGR
9.5%
Growth gap
-1.3 pts
Verdict
FAIR
Discount rate (WACC)
10.12%
Beta
1.35

Behaviour On Record

What RRX's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
29.8% 59th pct
Below its peak
-35.7%
vs 200-day average
-17.1%
Up days (1y)
51%

Regal Rexnord Corporation is currently running 29.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against RRX's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 59th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 27.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

RRX is trading -35.7% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -25.6%, and the deepest was -43.7% in 2025. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -17.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 6th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year RRX closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, RRX finished the month higher 9 of 14 times, with a median return of +0.8% and an average of -0.3%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.9% on average, its weakest March at -3.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: RRX has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 202 of 3,268 sessions (6.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +15.3% and -12.7%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against RRX's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of RRX's sector?

Regal Rexnord Corporation sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#8 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
36

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for RRX?

CallsPuts

For Regal Rexnord Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 2 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 1.31), with at-the-money implied volatility around 49.4%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±4.2% move by that expiry — a range of about $153.48–$167.10.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
1.31
ATM implied volatility
49.4%
Total open interest
1,843
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±4.2% ($153.48–$167.10)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on RRX?

Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on Regal Rexnord Corporation to Buy on Oct 12, 2026 with a price target of $200 (from $220). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Citigroup — Buy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 12, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$220 → $200
Oct 9, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$240 → $196
Oct 8, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$245 → $200
Aug 6, 2026KeybancMaintainedOverweight$265 → $240
Jul 20, 2026Deutsche BankInitiatedBuy$286
Jul 14, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$240 → $260
Jun 16, 2026DA DavidsonInitiatedBuy$260
May 26, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$230 → $240
May 7, 2026KeybancMaintainedOverweight$255 → $265
Apr 13, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$230 → $240
Mar 23, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$237 → $245
Feb 10, 2026KeybancMaintainedOverweight$200 → $255

ETF holders

ETFs holding RRX

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

43/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
BEARISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
Citigroup analyst Kyle Menges reduced Regal Rexnord’s price target from $220 to $200 while keeping a Buy recommendation. The downgrade reflects concerns about the company’s earnings outlook and competitive pressures. The move signals a modest negative view on the stock’s near‑term upside.
What did this article say?
Regal Rexnord reported robust Q2 2026 earnings, with orders and sales rising year over year, driven by strong demand in data center, commercial HVAC, and discrete automation markets. Management maintained full‑year 2026 sales and adjusted EPS guidance unchanged, citing tariff refunds and integration progress as margin‑sustaining levers. The company highlighted ongoing efforts to improve service levels and expand into robotics and data center opportunities, reinforcing its position as a core supplier in high‑growth sectors.
What did this article say?
JP Morgan analyst Tomohiko Sano reduced Regal Rexnord’s (RRX) price target from $240 to $196 while keeping an Overweight rating. The downgrade reflects concerns about the company’s earnings outlook and competitive pressures in the industrial automation sector. The move signals a modest negative view on RRX’s near‑term valuation, though the rating itself remains positive. Investors may interpret the target cut as a warning that RRX’s growth prospects are less robust than previously thought.
What did this article say?
Oppenheimer reduced its price target for Regal Rexnord (RRX) from $245 to $200 while maintaining an Outperform rating. The downgrade reflects a reassessment of the company’s valuation relative to peers. The firm’s average rating remains Buy, with a mean target of $262.60 across analysts. The adjustment signals a modest negative outlook for RRX’s stock, though the rating suggests continued confidence in the business fundamentals.
What did this article say?
Oppenheimer analyst Christopher Glynn reduced Regal Rexnord’s price target from $245 to $200 while keeping an Outperform rating. The downgrade reflects concerns over the company’s earnings outlook and competitive pressures in the industrial automation sector. The firm cited weaker margin expectations and a more cautious view on future growth prospects. This adjustment signals a modest negative view on RRX’s near‑term performance.
What did this article say?
Regal Rexnord (RRX) announced its second‑quarter 2026 financial results and held an earnings call on October 8. The transcript was made available through Benzinga’s API, providing investors with access to the company’s commentary and Q&A session. No specific guidance or material updates were disclosed in the brief summary, leaving the market with limited new information beyond the routine earnings release. The lack of substantive detail suggests the announcement had a neutral impact on the company’s outlook.
What did this article say?
Regal Rexnord (RRX) shares surged on October 6 as investors reacted to increased capital spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure and defense modernization. The company, a supplier of electrical grid equipment and data center construction, benefited from heightened demand for power upgrades and physical installations required by large computing clusters. Analysts noted that the dual drivers of AI and defense budgets are likely to sustain project orders for RRX’s core products. The rally reflected market confidence in the company’s positioning within these growth sectors.
What did this article say?
Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) announced that it will release its third quarter 2026 financial results before the market open on November 3, 2026. The company will host a conference call at 9:00 a.m. CT to discuss the results. Investors can listen live or via webcast, and a replay will be available afterward.
What did this article say?
Regal Rexnord (RRX) published its 2025 Sustainability Report, outlining advances toward carbon neutrality and detailing how ESG initiatives underpin its long‑term growth strategy. The report highlights product innovation that boosts customer energy efficiency, a diverse and engaged workforce, and robust governance practices. While the disclosures reinforce RRX’s commitment to sustainability, they do not signal a material shift in financial outlook or immediate catalysts.
What did this article say?
Regal Rexnord’s share price sits at $148.05, prompting a valuation review against its projected cash flows. The article compares the company’s 13.7% five‑year return to its 30.4x P/E ratio, suggesting a potential overvaluation relative to cash generation. It highlights the importance of how much cash is reinvested versus returned to shareholders, which could alter the intrinsic value. The piece urges investors to benchmark RRX against other undervalued peers to assess whether the discount is justified. Overall, the analysis signals a mild headwind, questioning the current price level without definitive evidence of a material mispricing.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

59
NEUTRAL
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $7.12B combined position · 11 adding, 14 trimming, 0 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
BlackRock, Inc.▲ Buy6,202,4259.28%$1.48B2026-08-07
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▼ Sell4,532,9446.78%$1.08B2026-08-13
Vanguard Group Inc▼ Sell6,207,0079.29%$870.97M2026-01-29
Wellington Management Group LLP▲ Buy2,584,0563.87%$615.50M2026-08-14
Viking Global Investors LP▼ Sell2,101,7593.14%$500.62M2026-08-14
Invesco Ltd.▼ Sell1,478,0842.21%$352.06M2026-08-14
Geode Capital Management, LLC▼ Sell1,263,9061.89%$301.13M2026-08-12
Norges Bank▲ Buy978,0221.46%$232.96M2026-08-12
Millennium Management LLC▲ Buy972,5491.46%$231.65M2026-08-14
William Blair Investment Management, LLC▲ Buy891,1391.33%$212.26M2026-08-12
Morgan Stanley▲ Buy709,9021.06%$169.09M2026-08-13
Northern Trust Corp▼ Sell566,1160.85%$134.84M2026-08-13
Balyasny Asset Management L.P.▼ Sell513,9620.77%$122.42M2026-08-14
AllianceBernstein L.P.▼ Sell626,0650.94%$117.24M2026-08-14
Fisher Asset Management, LLC▼ Sell481,5320.72%$114.70M2026-08-04
Bank of America Corp▲ Buy465,1140.70%$110.79M2026-08-14
Moore Capital Management, LP▲ Buy302,7230.45%$72.11M2026-08-14
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.▼ Sell273,7690.41%$65.21M2026-08-14
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▲ Buy269,7410.40%$64.25M2026-08-14
JPMorgan Chase & Co▲ Buy281,4200.42%$62.54M2026-08-12
Adage Capital Partners GP, L.L.C.▲ Buy248,4330.37%$59.17M2026-08-14
Gotham Asset Management, LLC▼ Sell217,3740.33%$51.78M2026-08-14
Wells Fargo & Company▼ Sell156,3790.23%$37.25M2026-08-14
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.▼ Sell134,4180.20%$32.02M2026-08-14
Citigroup Inc▼ Sell129,4110.19%$30.82M2026-08-03
Q2 2026 flow:2.10M sh bought ($498.42M)2.79M sh sold ($661.30M)net -692.9K sh (−$162.88M)