TEAM·Atlassian Corporation
TEAM|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'26 | $1.50 | - | - |
| Q4'26 | $1.53 | $1.87 | +22.0% |
| Q1'25 | $0.93 | $0.97 | +4.9% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'26 | $1.7B | - | - |
| Q4'26 | $1.7B | $1.8B | +4.3% |
| Q1'25 | - | $1.4B | - |
TEAM|Monthly Returns
Market Data
TEAM Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 48.94B
- Day range
- $188.83 – $196.00
- News sentiment
- 74/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $199.23 (+4.0%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 42 analysts
TEAM's technical picture is constructive, with trend and momentum pointing the same direction. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Technology tend to move together on rotation.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into TEAM?
At today's price, Atlassian Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 31.1% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 10.81% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 16.0% a year, so the market is asking for 15.2 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis TEAM looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 31.1%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 16.0%
- Growth gap
- +15.2 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 10.81%
- Beta
- 1.20
Behaviour On Record
What TEAM's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 52.8% 65th pct
- Below its peak
- -58.1%
- vs 200-day average
- +73.1%
- Up days (1y)
- 49%
Atlassian Corporation is currently running 52.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against TEAM's own 11 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 65th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 45.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
TEAM is trading -58.1% below its running peak. Across 10 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -30.1%, and the deepest was -66.8% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.
Price sits +73.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 100th percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year TEAM closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.
On September specifically: over 11 years of records, TEAM finished the month higher 5 of 11 times, with a median return of -1.3% and an average of -1.9%. Its strongest month historically has been August at +15.0% on average, its weakest March at -4.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: TEAM has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 211 of 2,707 sessions (7.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.1% and -9.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
All figures computed from 2,708 daily closes between 2015-12-10 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against TEAM's own 11-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of TEAM's sector?
Atlassian Corporation sits in the Technology sector, currently ranked 1st of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading). Within its narrower Software industry group, TEAM ranks 3rd of 15 tracked industries, leading.
- Sector rank
- #1 of 11
- Sector state
- Leading
- Sector rotation score
- 90
- Industry rank
- #3 of 15
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on TEAM?
BTIG most recently reiterated its rating on Atlassian Corporation to Buy on Sep 3, 2026 with a price target of $230 (from $180). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- BTIG — Buy
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
