MANH·Manhattan Associates Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

30.9% 49th pct

Below its peak

-28.1%

vs 200-day average

+37.2%

Up days (1y)

53%

Manhattan Associates Inc. is currently running 30.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MANH's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 49th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 31.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

MANH is trading -28.1% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -27.6%, and the deepest was -58.2% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +37.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 97th percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year MANH closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, MANH finished the month higher 4 of 13 times, with a median return of -4.6% and an average of -0.0%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +5.8% on average, its weakest March at -3.0%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: MANH has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 188 of 3,267 sessions (5.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.0% and -8.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MANH's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.