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MKSI·MKS Inc.

$252.16
+11.93 (+4.97%)
After Hours
High
$256.00
Open
$244.15
Market Cap
15.62B
52W High
$447.62
Low
$241.04
P. Close
$252.16
P/E
35.51
52W Low
$119.62
Fwd P/E
13.64
DailyIQ Est.
$442.76
Inst. Ownership
-
Short Interest
10.09%
Days to Cover
5.0
Technical Score (1D)
14
SELL
News Sentiment
35
BEARISH
Morgan Stanley’s latest research, released 28 hours ago, trimmed its price target for MKSI from $439 to $345 while keeping an Overweight rating, signaling a more cautious valuation outlook that could temper near‑term upside. The cut follows the company’s record Q2 earnings and a new wafer‑fabrication capacity expansion in Penang, Malaysia, announced 102 hours ago, which should offset current margin pressure and support long‑term demand for semiconductor tools. Meanwhile, the 2026 ESG report issued 99 hours ago confirms MKS’s Science‑Based Targets for Scope 1‑3 GHG reductions and a new rooftop solar installation in Guangzhou, underscoring its commitment to operational excellence but offering no immediate financial catalyst. Despite the strong earnings beat and 28 % revenue growth reported 336 hours ago, the stock has fallen 14 % in the past month, suggesting investors are pricing in growth uncertainty or sector weakness; this divergence between fundamentals and market sentiment warrants close monitoring of the upcoming earnings call for guidance and margin commentary. Analyst consensus earnings estimates have risen across the board in the last 527 hours, a trend historically linked to short‑term price momentum, so the next earnings release could confirm or refute that expectation. A bullish consensus price target of $407, set 530 hours ago, implies a 49 % upside, but the wide target range ($270–$600) indicates moderate agreement and leaves room for volatility. The CEO’s Rule 10b5‑1 sale of 10,000 shares 577 hours ago was routine and unlikely to affect fundamentals, yet it provides a useful reference point for insider activity. Mizuho’s price target cut to $330, issued 581–584 hours ago, mirrors Morgan Stanley’s caution and highlights competitive pressures that could compress valuation multiples. Finally, the non‑binding letter of intent to acquire Carbonium Core 600 hours ago introduces potential dilution and integration risk; traders should watch for a definitive agreement and any regulatory approvals that could alter the capital structure.
Earnings Summary
MKS Inc. is a global technology provider delivering essential solutions across vacuum, photonics, and material processing for semiconductor, electronics, and industrial markets, positioning it within the scientific & technical instruments sector. In Q4 2024, the company posted EPS of $2.15 versus an estimate of $1.96, with revenue of $935 million, while in Q4 2025 EPS dipped slightly to $2.47 against an estimate of $2.50 and revenue fell to $1.033 billion from an estimate of $1.042 billion; the subsequent Q2 2026 results showed a strong rebound with EPS of $3.30 versus an estimate of $3.02 and revenue of $1.248 billion versus an estimate of $1.229 billion, indicating a 28.3 % YoY revenue increase and an 86.4 % EPS jump. Historically, MKS has maintained a trajectory of accelerating earnings growth, with EPS rising from $2.15 in Q4 2024 to $3.30 in Q2 2026, while revenue growth has been consistently positive, though the company has experienced a slight margin compression noted by the CFO in Q2 2026, suggesting cost pressures. Recent news highlights the release of a 2026 ESG report and a new rooftop solar array in Guangzhou, underscoring operational sustainability but not indicating immediate financial shifts; meanwhile, the Q2 2026 earnings beat consensus yet the share price fell 14.3 % in the month, reflecting investor concern over margin erosion and supply‑chain constraints. Investors should watch for the upcoming Q3 2026 earnings call for guidance on cost‑control initiatives, margin trends, and any updates on supply‑chain status, as these factors will likely dictate short‑term price momentum and influence the company’s ability to sustain its rapid earnings growth.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.70$2.25$2.79$3.34$3.88Q4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$3.63 - -
Q2'26$3.02$3.30+9.4%
Q4'25$2.50$2.47-1.3%
Q4'24$1.96$2.15+10.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$868M$1.0B$1.2B$1.3B$1.4BQ4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.4B - -
Q2'26$1.2B$1.2B+1.5%
Q4'25$1.0B$1.0B-0.9%
Q4'24 - $935M -

Market Data

MKSI Stock Snapshot

SELL14/100
$252.07$0.09 (0.0%)
Market cap
15.62B
P/E ratio
35.5
Day range
$241.04 – $256.00
News sentiment
35/100 · Bearish
Analyst target
$410.86 (+63.0%)
Consensus
Buy · 21 analysts
52-week range+110.7% off low · -43.7% from high
$119.62$447.62
Price $252.07 DailyIQ Est. $442.76

MKSI's technical picture is under pressure, with momentum working against price. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Technology tend to move together on rotation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into MKSI?

RICH

At today's price, MKS Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 39.7% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 12.48% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 20.1% a year, so the market is asking for 19.6 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis MKSI looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
39.7%
Historical FCF CAGR
20.1%
Growth gap
+19.6 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
12.48%
Beta
1.92

Behaviour On Record

What MKSI's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
65.3% 93rd pct
Below its peak
-47.1%
vs 200-day average
-11.6%
Up days (1y)
57%

MKS Inc. is currently running 65.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MKSI's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 93rd percentile an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 37.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

MKSI is trading -47.1% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -31.1%, and the deepest was -63.9% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -11.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 16th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year MKSI closed higher on 57% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, MKSI finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.0% and an average of +0.2%. Its strongest month historically has been January at +7.5% on average, its weakest August at -3.0%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: MKSI has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 337 of 3,267 sessions (10.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.7% and -13.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-18 and 2026-09-16, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MKSI's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of MKSI's sector?

MKS Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 11th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#11 of 11
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
40

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for MKSI?

CallsPuts

For MKS Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 0 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 1.09), with at-the-money implied volatility around 132.2%.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
1.09
ATM implied volatility
132.2%
Total open interest
4,205

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on MKSI?

Morgan Stanley most recently reiterated its rating on MKS Inc. to Overweight on Sep 17, 2026 with a price target of $345 (from $439). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Morgan StanleyOverweight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 17, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$439 → $345
Aug 25, 2026MizuhoMaintainedOutperform$360 → $330
Aug 7, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$425 → $430
Aug 7, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$365 → $380
Aug 7, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$300 → $325
Aug 6, 2026NeedhamMaintainedBuy$360 → $390
Aug 3, 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratedOverweight$600
Jul 24, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$355 → $425
Jul 9, 2026MizuhoMaintainedOutperform$400 → $415
Jul 6, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$374 → $442
Jun 30, 2026BMO CapitalInitiatedOutperform$453
Jun 29, 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainedOverweight$400 → $600

MKSI Competitive Positioning

MKS Inc. (MKSI) is tracked alongside these names in Scientific & Technical Instruments on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.