MTSI·MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

57.8% 77th pct

Below its peak

-25.3%

vs 200-day average

+11.0%

Up days (1y)

58%

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. is currently running 57.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MTSI's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 77th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 43.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

MTSI is trading -25.3% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -35.6%, and the deepest was -63.7% in 2018. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +11.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 49th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year MTSI closed higher on 58% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, MTSI finished the month higher 9 of 13 times, with a median return of +4.8% and an average of +0.7%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +11.3% on average, its weakest March at -4.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: MTSI has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 383 of 3,267 sessions (11.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +24.3% and -9.3%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MTSI's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.