SMTC·Semtech Corporation
SMTC|Analyst Targets
SMTC|Insider Trading
SMTC|Fundamentals
SMTC|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'27 | $1.06 | - | - |
| Q2'27 | $0.61 | $0.71 | +15.6% |
| Q2'25 | $0.40 | $0.41 | +2.2% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'27 | $415M | - | - |
| Q2'27 | $335M | $342M | +2.0% |
| Q2'25 | - | $258M | - |
SMTC|Monthly Returns
Market Data
SMTC Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 18.00B
- P/E ratio
- 53.6
- Day range
- $188.37 – $196.63
- News sentiment
- 48/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $212.47 (+9.2%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 25 analysts
Trend, momentum and range position line up bullish on SMTC at the moment. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into SMTC?
At today's price, Semtech Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 81.2% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 15.43% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 3.0% a year, so the market is asking for 78.2 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis SMTC looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 81.2%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 3.0%
- Growth gap
- +78.2 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 15.43%
- Beta
- 2.07
Behaviour On Record
What SMTC's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 89.5% 94th pct
- Below its peak
- -1.1%
- vs 200-day average
- +64.7%
- Up days (1y)
- 52%
Semtech Corporation is currently running 89.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against SMTC's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 94th percentile — an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 41.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
SMTC is trading -1.1% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -32.1%, and the deepest was -71.5% in 2022. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits +64.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 97th percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year SMTC closed higher on 52% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.
On October specifically: over 13 years of records, SMTC finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.3% and an average of -3.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +9.9% on average, its weakest October at -3.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: SMTC has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 352 of 3,267 sessions (10.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +28.0% and -10.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against SMTC's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of SMTC's sector?
Semtech Corporation sits in the Semiconductors sector, currently ranked 1st of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening). Within its narrower Semiconductors industry group, SMTC ranks 1st of 15 tracked industries, weakening.
- Sector rank
- #1 of 12
- Sector state
- Weakening
- Sector rotation score
- 91
- Industry rank
- #1 of 15
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on SMTC?
Benchmark most recently reiterated its rating on Semtech Corporation to Buy on Oct 10, 2024 with a price target of $56. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- Benchmark — Buy
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
Held by These ETFs
News Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment gathered from recent headlines
Recent News Coverage
Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).
Technical Analysis
Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes
| Manager | Trend | Shares Held | % of Co. | Position Value | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citadel Advisors LLC | • Hold | 1,994,246 | 2.16% | $322.77M | 2026-09-02 |
| Member | Chamber | State | Type | Amount | Traded | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | CA31 | ▼ Sell | $1K - $15K | 2026-07-16 | 2026-09-04 |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | CA31 | ▼ Sell | $1K - $15K | 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-02 |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | CA31 | ▲ Buy | $1K - $15K | 2026-03-03 | 2026-04-07 |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | CA31 | ▲ Buy | $1K - $15K | 2025-09-02 | 2025-09-12 |
| Thom Tillis | Senate | NC | ▼ Sell | $1K - $15K | 2015-02-13 | 2015-02-26 |