DailyIQ
Last updatedUpdating…

TSEM·Tower Semiconductor Ltd.

$195.46
+4.34 (+2.27%)
High
$196.35
Open
$194.26
Market Cap
21.56B
52W High
$320.00
Low
$191.33
P. Close
$195.46
P/E
74.46
52W Low
$64.45
Fwd P/E
29.26
DailyIQ Est.
$323.53
Inst. Ownership
21.2%
Short Interest
2.28%
Days to Cover
2.0
Technical Score (1D)
18
SELL
News Sentiment
56
BULLISH
Tower Semiconductor’s latest announcement at ECOC 2026 signals a strategic push into high‑volume silicon photonics and Silicon Germanium (SiGe) BiCMOS solutions, targeting datacenter optical transceivers, AI cluster optics, DWDM lasers, and quantum computing. By showcasing these platforms, the company aims to win new contracts in the AI and telecom sectors, which could lift its high‑margin analog foundry revenue. The move underscores Tower’s continued investment in photonics and SiGe, positioning it to capture growing demand for faster, lower‑latency optical interconnects in data centers and emerging high‑performance markets. For the next 1–10 trading days, the market will likely monitor the company’s ability to convert the ECOC exposure into tangible orders, as this could accelerate revenue growth and justify a higher valuation multiple. Watch for any follow‑up announcements from Tower regarding signed contracts or partnership agreements that would confirm the commercial traction of these technologies. Additionally, keep an eye on the broader photonics supply chain, as any bottlenecks or cost pressures could impact Tower’s margins. Finally, observe how competitors in the analog foundry space respond, as a shift toward photonics could reshape the competitive landscape and influence sector sentiment.
Earnings Summary
Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) is an independent semiconductor foundry that offers a portfolio of SiGe, SiPho, and CMOS process technologies, serving automotive, communications, and medical device markets worldwide. In Q4 2024 the company posted revenue of $387.2 million and EPS of $0.59, beating the $0.534 estimate, while Q4 2025 revenue rose to $440.2 million and EPS climbed to $0.78, exceeding the $0.57083 forecast; the two most recent quarters both beat consensus, with EPS growth accelerating from 0.59 to 0.78. The Q2 2026 results showed a 24 % YoY revenue jump to $460.1 million and adjusted EPS of $0.88, surpassing the $0.7732 estimate, but the following quarter’s revenue guidance of roughly $520 million indicates a continued upward trajectory. Historically, TSEM has delivered consistent revenue growth, with YoY increases in each quarter and EPS beats in the last four quarters; the company’s ability to maintain margin expansion despite higher utilization rates has been a recurring theme. Recent news highlights a record $460 million revenue in Q2 2026 and a $520 million guidance for Q3, driven by higher fab utilization and disciplined cost control, suggesting robust demand from automotive and industrial silicon‑photonics customers; the partnership with OpenLight to accelerate the PH18DA photonics ecosystem further underlines its strategic focus on high‑margin specialty processes. Investors should watch the Q3 earnings release for confirmation of the $520 million target, any commentary on capacity execution or supply‑chain constraints, and updates on the OpenLight collaboration, as these factors will determine whether the bullish narrative holds over the next trading days.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.45$0.63$0.80$0.97$1.14Q4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.06 - -
Q2'26$0.77$0.88+13.8%
Q4'25$0.57$0.78+36.6%
Q4'24$0.53$0.59+10.5%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$366M$412M$459M$506M$552MQ4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$531M - -
Q2'26$464M$460M-0.8%
Q4'25$411M$440M+7.1%
Q4'24 - $387M -

Market Data

TSEM Stock Snapshot

SELL18/100
$195.46+$4.34 (2.3%)
Market cap
21.56B
P/E ratio
74.5
Day range
$191.33 – $196.35
News sentiment
56/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$314.91 (+61.1%)
Consensus
Buy · 13 analysts
52-week range+203.3% off low · -38.9% from high
$64.45$320.00
Price $195.46 DailyIQ Est. $323.53

TSEM is on the weaker side of its setup, with little confirmation for a reversal yet. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Behaviour On Record

What TSEM's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
76.0% 91st pct
Below its peak
-38.9%
vs 200-day average
+2.2%
Up days (1y)
54%

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. is currently running 76.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against TSEM's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 91st percentile an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 38.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

TSEM is trading -38.9% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -25.0%, and the deepest was -63.3% in 2018. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +2.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 40th percentile close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year TSEM closed higher on 54% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 14 years of records, TSEM finished the month higher 6 of 14 times, with a median return of -2.1% and an average of -0.8%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +9.9% on average, its weakest March at -1.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: TSEM has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 322 of 3,268 sessions (9.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +15.4% and -14.3%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-16 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against TSEM's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of TSEM's sector?

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. sits in the Technology sector, currently ranked 6th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging). Within its narrower Semiconductors industry group, TSEM ranks 13th of 15 tracked industries, lagging.

Sector rank
#6 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
50
Industry rank
#13 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for TSEM?

CallsPuts

For Tower Semiconductor Ltd.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 3 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 8.11), with at-the-money implied volatility around 58.4%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±6.0% move by that expiry — a range of about $183.72–$207.20.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
8.11
ATM implied volatility
58.4%
Total open interest
18,911
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±6.0% ($183.72–$207.20)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on TSEM?

Stifel most recently initiated coverage on Tower Semiconductor Ltd. to Buy on Sep 2, 2026 with a price target of $270. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
StifelBuy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 2, 2026StifelInitiatedBuy$270
Aug 7, 2026B of A SecuritiesInitiatedBuy$367
May 14, 2026BenchmarkMaintainedBuy$230 → $335
May 14, 2026SusquehannaMaintainedPositive$180 → $330
May 14, 2026WedbushMaintainedNeutral$140 → $300
Mar 26, 2026BenchmarkMaintainedBuy$165 → $230
Feb 13, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$114 → $142
Feb 12, 2026WedbushMaintainedNeutral$125 → $140
Feb 12, 2026BenchmarkMaintainedBuy$150 → $165
Jan 9, 2026BenchmarkReiteratedBuy$120 → $150
Dec 31, 2025WedbushDowngradeOutperform → Neutral$125
Nov 11, 2025BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$74 → $97

TSEM Competitive Positioning

Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) is tracked alongside these names in Semiconductors on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.