DailyIQ
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DailyIQ
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Sector:Communication ServicesAll sectors
Last updatedUpdating…

TKO·TKO Group Holdings, Inc.

$189.69
+0.55 (+0.29%)
High
$190.23
Open
$183.81
Market Cap
35.80B
52W High
$226.94
Low
$182.21
P. Close
$189.69
P/E
154.35
52W Low
$170.14
Fwd P/E
40.31
DailyIQ Est.
$235.96
Inst. Own.
27.7%
Short Interest
4.07%
Days to Cover
8.1
Div. Yield
1.66%
Last Ex-Div
Sep 15, 2026
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Nov 4, 2026tone -7.8 vs prior release · 150 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
33
BEARISH
News Sentiment
60
BULLISH
On Nov 5, 2026, TKO Group Holdings announced the pricing of a $1 billion senior secured notes offering at 6.500% due 2031 through its subsidiary TKO Worldwide Holdings, with proceeds earmarked for general corporate purposes and potential share repurchases. The same day, the company reported earnings that beat analyst expectations and raised its revenue guidance for the year, citing stronger sales in its core segments and improved operating margins. In its earnings call, TKO also lifted guidance for the third quarter of 2026, noting the impact of newly signed long‑term contracts and expansion into emerging markets. Additionally, on Nov 5, Guggenheim Securities increased its price target for TKO from $228 to $240, citing the stronger earnings guidance and a favorable competitive position in the sports entertainment sector. The notes offering was expected to close around Nov 13, 2026, subject to customary conditions. These developments collectively highlight TKO’s ongoing financing strategy and its positive outlook for revenue and profitability.
LOW TARGET
$208 +9.7%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$232 +22.1%
13 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$250 +31.8%
14 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$208.00 - $250.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
10/12/5/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$235.96 (+24.4%)
Sector
Communication Services
Industry
Entertainment
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Website
tkogrp.com
Symbol
TKO
Description
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. is a sports and entertainment enterprise built around the ownership and management of premier intellectual property within the live events and content creation sectors. The company generates revenue by producing and licensing live events, television programming, and various content formats across digital and traditional media platforms, including pay-per-view. A key component of its strategy is the direct-to-consumer streaming service, UFC FIGHT PASS, offering exclusive access to live events and on-demand content. Furthermore, TKO monetizes its brand through merchandising, encompassing video games, apparel, and collectibles, alongside sponsorships and advertising that leverage in-venue and broadcast assets. Headquartered in New York, TKO Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Endeavor Group Holdings, Inc.
Bought (1Y)
5,200 shares
$988K
Sold (1Y)
187,263 shares
$35.8M
Schleimer Andrew MChief Financial Officer
Award/Grant56,780 shares2026-11-02
Khan Nick-
Sell9,189 shares2026-10-15
Khan Nick-
Sell400 shares2026-10-13
Emanuel ArielChief Executive Officer
Tax Withholding49,481 shares2026-09-14
Khan Nick-
Sell100 shares2026-09-14
View full insider trading history →
77/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
4.1%
Revenue CAGR
46.4%
Current Ratio
1.26x
Debt / Equity
1.01x
Return on Equity
5.2%
View full financials →
Earnings Summary
In the most recent quarter, Q3 2026, TKO reported revenue of $1.36 billion, slightly below the $1.37 billion consensus, and EPS of $1.33, beating the $1.20 estimate by 10.83%. Compared to Q2 2026, revenue dipped modestly from $1.55 billion to $1.36 billion, while EPS fell from $1.34 to $1.33, indicating a slight deceleration in top‑line growth but a continued ability to meet earnings expectations. Over the last four quarters, the company has delivered two earnings beats and three revenue beats, demonstrating a pattern of outperforming analysts on the bottom line while occasionally missing revenue estimates. Historically, TKO has shown a YoY revenue growth trajectory that has accelerated in 2025, with a 2025 Q4 revenue of $1.04 billion versus $642 million in Q4 2024, and a 2026 Q2 revenue of $1.55 billion versus $1.04 billion in Q4 2025, reflecting a consistent upward trend. The company has frequently beat EPS estimates, even when revenue fell short, underscoring disciplined cost management and strong pricing power. Recent news highlights include the company’s announcement of a new Royal Rumble event in 2027, which expanded ticketing and streaming options, and a significant increase in full‑year 2026 revenue guidance to $5.79‑$5.83 billion, coupled with an adjusted EBITDA guidance of $2.295‑$2.315 billion, signaling confidence in continued live‑event demand.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-0.29$0.17$0.63$1.09$1.55Q4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$1.03 - -
Q3'26$1.21$1.33+9.5%
Q2'26$1.09$1.34+23.3%
Q4'25$0.30$-0.08-126.3%
Q4'24$0.21$0.28+34.2%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$506M$801M$1.1B$1.4B$1.7BQ4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$1.3B - -
Q3'26$1.4B$1.4B-2.3%
Q2'26$1.5B$1.5B-0.2%
Q4'25$1.0B$1.0B+0.4%
Q4'24 - $642M -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

TKO Stock Snapshot

BEARISH33/100
$189.69+$0.55 (0.3%)
Market cap
35.80B
P/E ratio
154.3
Day range
$182.21 – $190.23
News sentiment
60/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$231.63 (+22.1%)
Consensus
Buy · 29 analysts
52-week range+11.5% off low · -16.4% from high
$170.14$226.94
Price $189.69 DailyIQ Est. $235.96

The signals on TKO lean bearish, and the range position backs that up. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Communication Services tend to move together on rotation.

Behaviour On Record

What TKO's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
29.2% 39th pct
Below its peak
-14.0%
vs 200-day average
+0.2%
Up days (1y)
49%

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. is currently running 29.2% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against TKO's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 39th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 32.1%.

TKO is trading -14.0% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -28.8%, and the deepest was -65.6% in 2014. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +0.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 33rd percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year TKO closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.

On November specifically: over 13 years of records, TKO finished the month higher 9 of 13 times, with a median return of +4.7% and an average of +3.1%. Its strongest month historically has been January at +9.0% on average, its weakest October at -4.6%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: TKO has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 220 of 3,267 sessions (6.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.6% and -19.0%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against TKO's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of TKO's sector?

TKO Group Holdings, Inc. sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 2nd of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).

Sector rank
#2 of 12
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
73

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for TKO?

CallsPuts

For TKO Group Holdings, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-11-20, 14 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.59), with at-the-money implied volatility around 55.1%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±11.3% move by that expiry — a range of about $153.28–$192.46.

Put/call ratio (2026-11-20)
0.59
ATM implied volatility
55.1%
Total open interest
910
Expected move by 2026-11-20
±11.3% ($153.28–$192.46)

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect TKO to earn?

Analysts expect TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to earn $4.44 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $4.48 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2029, from 2 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Sep 2026$1.11$0.50 to $1.609$1.38B18
Dec 2026$1.06$0.52 to $1.949$1.31B18
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$4.44$3.52 to $5.769$5.83B21
Dec 2027$4.92$2.58 to $7.709$5.88B20
Dec 2028$5.91$3.11 to $8.244~$6.08B-
Dec 2029$4.48$3.37 to $5.592~$4.61B-

Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on TKO?

BTIG most recently reiterated its rating on TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Buy on Oct 21, 2026 with a price target of $237. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
BTIG: Buy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 21, 2026BTIGReiteratedBuy$237
Oct 20, 2026GuggenheimMaintainedBuy$235 → $228
Oct 16, 2026SusquehannaMaintainedPositive$235 → $224
Sep 16, 2026BernsteinMaintainedOutperform$235 → $240
Aug 5, 2026GuggenheimMaintainedBuy$230 → $235
Aug 4, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$225 → $230
Aug 4, 2026BTIGReiteratedBuy$237
Jul 29, 2026BTIGReiteratedBuy$237
Jul 28, 2026BernsteinMaintainedOutperform$240 → $235
Jul 21, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$225 → $222
Jul 15, 2026GuggenheimMaintainedBuy$232 → $230
Jul 14, 2026Seaport GlobalUpgradeNeutral → Buy$210

Earnings Release, Scored

What did TKO Group Holdings, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?

Filed Nov 4, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Tone64.8/ 100-7.8 vs prior release
Hedging words0.38per 100 words+0.00 vs prior release
Tone, last 3 releasesScale 50–83

Most important lines

  1. 1

    The decrease was primarily related to a decrease in revenue related to the Company’s boxing initiatives due to a one-time benefit recognized in 2025 due to the initial vesting of the Company’s equity in Zuffa Boxing, partially offset by an increase in revenue at PBR, despite three fewer total events, compared to the prior year period.

    New this quarterNegative tone
  2. 2

    Revenue decreased 3%, or $2.0 million, to $61.3 million.

    Negative tone
  3. 3

    Direct operating costs reflected higher athlete, production and other event-related costs, which were largely driven by two additional events and the impact of UFC 329 which had a higher cost profile compared to other Numbered Events and aligns with the increased revenues from the event, compared to the prior year period.

Scores describe the release's wording. They are not a forecast.

Read all 150 scored lines →

Peers & ETF holders

TKO peers & ETF holders

EntertainmentMarket cap · today

Top ETF holdersWeight

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about TKO?

TKO rose 7.5% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 34 and 81 from Oct 7 to Oct 27, then jumped to 86 on Oct 28.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 6 to Nov 6
$170$180$190Oct 6Oct 7: tone 47Oct 8Oct 9Oct 12Oct 13: tone 53Oct 14Oct 15Oct 16: tone 37Oct 19Oct 20: tone 45Oct 21: tone 70Oct 22: tone 81Oct 23Oct 26Oct 27: tone 34Oct 28: tone 86Oct 29Oct 30Nov 2Nov 3: tone 57Nov 4: tone 59Nov 5: tone 63Nov 6: tone 54Oct 6News toneNov 6123
  1. Oct 20 +3.1%same day: Guggenheim Maintains Buy on TKO Group Holdings, Lowers Price Target to $228
  2. Nov 2 +4.6%
  3. Nov 4 +3.4%same day: Is Earnings Estimate Reset Altering The Investment Case For TKO Group Holdings (TKO)?
Latest stories naming TKO

Technical analysis

How strong is TKO's momentum right now?

On the daily chart TKO ranks at the 33rd percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling TKO?

80 of the 164 tracked managers added to TKO in their latest 13F and 81 trimmed. Together they own 27.7% of the company, worth $10.4B. BlackRock and Morgan Stanley alone hold 5.5%.

80adding81trimming3unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of TKO
  1. 1BlackRock, Inc.3.01%
    $1.1B positionAdded 6.7% last quarter
  2. 2Morgan Stanley2.50%
    $946.6M positionTrimmed 10.5% last quarter
  3. 3State Street Corp2.46%
    $932.9M positionTrimmed 27.7% last quarter
  4. 4Vanguard Capital Management LLC2.13%
    $807.3M positionTrimmed 3.9% last quarter
  5. 5Massachusetts Financial Services Co (MFS)1.98%
    $753.8M positionAdded 5.2% last quarter
  6. 6Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC1.62%
    $613.1M positionTrimmed 1.5% last quarter
  7. 7Ninety One UK Ltd1.47%
    $496.8M positionTrimmed 12.0% last quarter
  8. 8Bank of America Corp1.11%
    $420.3M positionAdded 49.8% last quarter
  9. 9Geode Capital Management, LLC0.92%
    $347.5M positionTrimmed 12.5% last quarter
  10. 10Invesco Ltd.0.85%
    $322.1M positionAdded 1.1% last quarter
Full holdings history

Congressional trading

Is Congress trading TKO?

1 member of Congress disclosed 1 TKO trade on Nov 26, 2025: 1 buy, about $8.0K in estimated value.

BuysSellsNov
BuySell$1K–$15K$15K–$50K$50K–$100K$100K–$250K
Full trading history

Discover more

How has TKO done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 6, TKO returned +0.4%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 6 did better, led by SPOT at +42.1%.

Change since May 6, through Nov 6
−50%−25%0%+25%+50%May 6JunJulAugSepOctNov 6SPOT +42.1%TKO +0.4%NFLX −27.8%