TKO·TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
TKO|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $0.83 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $1.45 | $1.34 | -7.9% |
| Q4'25 | $0.30 | $-0.08 | -126.3% |
| Q4'24 | $0.21 | $0.28 | +34.2% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $1.4B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $1.5B | $1.5B | -0.2% |
| Q4'25 | $1.0B | $1.0B | +0.4% |
| Q4'24 | - | $642M | - |
TKO|Monthly Returns
Market Data
TKO Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 35.82B
- P/E ratio
- 154.4
- Day range
- $185.48 – $190.07
- News sentiment
- 69/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $231.42 (+22.3%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 29 analysts
Momentum has flattened on TKO, leaving the next move dependent on news rather than the chart. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Communication Services tend to move together on rotation.
Behaviour On Record
What TKO's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 34.0% 56th pct
- Below its peak
- -15.9%
- vs 200-day average
- -4.2%
- Up days (1y)
- 50%
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. is currently running 34.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against TKO's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 56th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 32.3%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
TKO is trading -15.9% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -30.3%, and the deepest was -65.6% in 2014. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits -4.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 26th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year TKO closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.
On September specifically: over 13 years of records, TKO finished the month higher 9 of 13 times, with a median return of +3.8% and an average of +0.0%. Its strongest month historically has been January at +9.0% on average, its weakest October at -3.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: TKO has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 220 of 3,268 sessions (6.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.6% and -19.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-19 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against TKO's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of TKO's sector?
TKO Group Holdings, Inc. sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 6th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).
- Sector rank
- #6 of 11
- Sector state
- Improving
- Sector rotation score
- 60
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on TKO?
Bernstein most recently reiterated its rating on TKO Group Holdings, Inc. to Outperform on Sep 16, 2026 with a price target of $240 (from $235). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.
- Latest action
- Bernstein — Outperform
- 90-day upgrades
- 1
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- +1
TKO Competitive Positioning
- TKOyou're hereTKO Group Holdings, Inc.$35.8B+0.06%
- NFLXNetflix, Inc.$318.6B-4.61%
- WBDWarner Bros. Discovery, Inc.$70.4B+8.27%
- FOXAFox Corporation$27.1B-0.66%
- ROKURoku Inc$23.0B0.00%
- NWSNews Corporation$17.0B+1.13%
