DailyIQ
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TOL·Toll Brothers Inc.

$150.81
+3.36 (+2.28%)
After Hours
High
$151.93
Open
$149.52
Market Cap
13.94B
52W High
$168.36
Low
$146.86
P. Close
$150.81
P/E
10.82
52W Low
$123.15
Fwd P/E
10.74
DailyIQ Est.
$177.35
Inst. Ownership
-
Short Interest
4.54%
Technical Score (1D)
18
SELL
News Sentiment
85
BULLISH
The newest development is the grand opening of the Hosmer Farmhouse model home at Toll Brothers’ Quail Ridge community in Ridgefield, Washington, a move that signals the company’s continued push into the high‑end Pacific Northwest market. By showcasing premium craftsmanship and open‑concept floor plans, Toll Brothers is aiming to accelerate sales momentum and reduce inventory in a region that remains strong for luxury buyers, which could lift the firm’s revenue outlook over the next few trading days. A few hours later, UBS raised its price target from $187 to $195, citing a stronger earnings outlook and sustained demand for luxury homes; this upgrade reinforces the narrative that the company’s recent product launches are translating into tangible upside. The UBS update also suggests that analysts expect the firm’s guidance to remain positive, which could support a bullish bias in the near term. Meanwhile, Truist lifted its target from $165 to $170, maintaining a Buy rating and underscoring confidence in the broader market conditions and Toll Brothers’ financial performance. The alignment of two major research houses on a higher target indicates that the market is pricing in continued growth, but the exact magnitude of the upside remains uncertain. Traders should watch for the company’s upcoming earnings release for confirmation of the earnings trajectory and any guidance on new project launches. Additionally, monitoring inventory levels and sales velocity in the Pacific Northwest will help gauge whether the new model home is driving the expected demand surge. Finally, keep an eye on regional housing market data and any changes in mortgage rates, as shifts in borrowing costs could quickly alter the demand dynamics for luxury homes.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$4.53$4.64$4.76$4.88$4.99Q3'25Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$4.94 - -
Q3'25$4.89$4.58-6.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.4B$3.4B$3.5B$3.5B$3.5BQ3'25Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$3.5B - -
Q3'25 - $3.4B -

Market Data

TOL Stock Snapshot

TOL is currently trading at $151.93, giving Toll Brothers Inc. a market cap of 13.94B and a P/E ratio of 10.8. Today's range spans $146.86–$151.93, with shares opening at $149.52 and moving up $1.12 (0.7%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 18/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 85/100.

Over the past year TOL has traded between $123.15 and $168.36 - the current price is +23.4% off the 52-week low and -9.8% from the high. 24 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $171.27 (range $122.00–$195.00), implying upside of +12.7%.

TOL is showing a SELL signal (18/100) with bullish sentiment (85/100). Price: $151.93 (in the middle of its 52-week range within $123.15–$168.36). (P/E: 10.8) At 13.94B in the broader market market cap, a bearish technical read accompanied by negative sentiment often marks the beginning of an earnings revision cycle downward - active managers trim before the revisions become consensus, compounding the selling pressure.

Analyst coverage for TOL becomes a double-edged factor in a SELL phase: at 13.94B in the broader market market cap, active coverage is high enough that downgrade risk is real and impactful. The 18/100 technical reading and bullish sentiment (85/100) at $151.93 (in the middle of its 52-week range) place the stock in the zone where one or two high-profile estimate cuts can convert a grinding decline into a sharper re-rating, the $123.15–$168.36 range establishes where that repricing lands.