Venture Global’s latest earnings guidance, released five hours ago, lifts 2026 EBITDA to roughly $10 billion as U.S. gas prices remain strong, reinforcing the company’s trajectory to become the largest U.S. LNG exporter by 2027 with projects on schedule. The upgrade signals that the firm’s core gas‑price exposure and project pipeline are delivering the expected cash flow, which should support near‑term revenue stability and potentially improve margin forecasts. Analysts have raised VG’s fair‑value estimate to $19 per share, underscoring long‑term upside despite short‑term volatility, and this valuation lift may attract value‑oriented investors looking for a growth play in a volatile market. The company’s involvement in QatarEnergy’s multi‑year LNG supply negotiations, targeting 2‑3 MTPA through 2031, further reduces spot‑market exposure and locks in a more predictable revenue stream, a development that could dampen earnings volatility over the next few trading days. Meanwhile, the broader gas market remains buoyant, but geopolitical risks—particularly the unresolved Iran situation—could still threaten supply dynamics and, by extension, VG’s pricing power. Investors should monitor the progress of the QatarEnergy talks and any updates on the Iran resolution, as both could materially alter VG’s revenue mix and risk profile. Additionally, watch for any signs of execution delays on the company’s key projects, which could undermine the projected EBITDA lift. Finally, keep an eye on the overall LNG demand trajectory, as shifts in global demand or regulatory changes could impact VG’s long‑term growth prospects.
VG|Earnings Snapshot
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Earnings Summary
Venture Global, Inc. is a developer and operator of large‑scale natural gas liquefaction and export facilities along the U.S. Gulf Coast, providing end‑to‑end LNG services from liquefaction to shipping and regasification; it operates within the Energy sector’s Oil & Gas Midstream industry. In Q4 2024 the company reported EPS of $0.3328 versus an estimate of $0.29758, while revenue reached $1.524 billion; in Q4 2025 EPS rose to $0.41 against an estimate of $0.3686, but revenue fell to $4.445 billion from an estimate of $4.651 billion; in Q2 2026 EPS of $0.51 beat the $0.4905 estimate and revenue climbed to $4.578 billion, a 47.6 % YoY increase, though it was $457.8 million below the $480.4 million estimate; Q3 2026 EPS and revenue are pending. The company has consistently outperformed earnings estimates in the last three quarters, with EPS beats in each period and a 264 % YoY profit jump in Q2 2026, while revenue growth has accelerated from 47.6 % in Q2 2026 to a projected 4868 million in Q3 2026, indicating a strong upward trajectory. Historically, VG has shown robust YoY revenue growth and frequent EPS beats, though revenue sometimes lags estimates, suggesting a pattern of earnings resilience amid pricing and volume gains. Recent news highlights a Zacks Rank #1 upgrade, a 14.6 % rise in consensus earnings estimates, and a record EBITDA of $2.5 billion in Q2 2026, driven by the new Plaquemines terminal; the company also secured a $3 billion revolving credit facility and raised its 2026 EBITDA guidance to $8.7–$9.1 billion, underscoring confidence in cash flow and growth prospects. Investors should watch for the Q3 2026 earnings release to confirm whether the upward earnings trend continues, monitor LNG price movements and U.S. pipeline capacity that directly influence revenue and margins, and keep an eye on any regulatory updates on LNG export approvals that could accelerate or constrain future growth.
Trend, momentum and range position line up bullish on VG at the moment. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Energy tend to move together on rotation.
Behaviour On Record
What VG's own history says about today's numbers
2years412 sessions
Realized volatility (21d)
36.5% 1st pct
Venture Global, Inc. is currently running 36.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against VG's own 2 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 1st percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 79.4%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
Overnight risk is measurable too: VG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 50 of 411 sessions (12.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.1% and -5.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
All figures computed from 412 daily closes between 2025-01-24 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against VG's own 2-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of VG's sector?
Venture Global, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 11th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).
Sector rank
#11 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
10
Options Market
What is the options market pricing for VG?
CallsPuts
For Venture Global, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 3 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.31), with at-the-money implied volatility around 58.6%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±5.1% move by that expiry — a range of about $14.48–$16.04.
Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.31
ATM implied volatility
58.6%
Total open interest
56,225
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±5.1% ($14.48–$16.04)
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on VG?
Scotiabank most recently reiterated its rating on Venture Global, Inc. to Sector Perform on Sep 10, 2026 with a price target of $16 (from $15). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
Latest action
Scotiabank — Sector Perform
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
Date
Firm
Action
Rating
Price target
Sep 10, 2026
Scotiabank
Maintained
Sector Perform
$15 → $16
Aug 12, 2026
Wells Fargo
Maintained
Equal-Weight
$14 → $15
Jul 22, 2026
Mizuho
Maintained
Neutral
$13 → $15
Jun 17, 2026
Bernstein
Initiated
Market Perform
$14
Jun 4, 2026
JP Morgan
Upgrade
Neutral → Overweight
$16 → $17
May 13, 2026
Scotiabank
Maintained
Sector Perform
$13 → $15
May 13, 2026
Morgan Stanley
Maintained
Overweight
$20 → $22
May 13, 2026
Citigroup
Upgrade
Neutral → Buy
$12 → $17
May 7, 2026
Mizuho
Maintained
Neutral
$12 → $13
Apr 17, 2026
RBC Capital
Maintained
Outperform
$14 → $16
Apr 16, 2026
Scotiabank
Maintained
Sector Perform
$11 → $13
Apr 14, 2026
JP Morgan
Maintained
Neutral
$19 → $16
VG Competitive Positioning
Venture Global, Inc. (VG) is tracked alongside these names in Oil & Gas Midstream on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.
Venture Global, Inc. is a developer and operator of large-scale natural gas liquefaction and export facilities situated along the U.S. Gulf Coast in Louisiana. The company's core business centers on transforming natural gas into liquefied natural gas (LNG) for global distribution. Venture Global manages the entire LNG value chain, encompassing transportation, shipping, and regasification services. Founded in 2013 and headquartered in Arlington, Virginia, the company's strategic focus is on capitalizing on the growing international demand for LNG. Venture Global, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Venture Global Partners II, LLC.
VG|Insider Trading
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Bought (1Y)
1,226 shares
$16K
Sold (1Y)
13,414,062 shares
$182.2M
Cothran BrianChief Operating Officer
Option Exercise152,660 shares2026-09-14
Cothran BrianChief Operating Officer
Sell152,660 shares2026-09-14
Cothran BrianChief Operating Officer
Option Exercise152,660 shares2026-09-14
Larson Keith DGeneral Counsel and Secretary
Option Exercise1,885,804 shares2026-09-09
Larson Keith DGeneral Counsel and Secretary
Sell1,885,804 shares2026-09-09
VG|Fundamentals
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Bullish
Verdict: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
19.8%
Net income as a share of revenue: what's left for shareholders after every expense.
Revenue CAGR
32.0%
Compound annual growth rate of revenue across the fiscal years on file.
Current Ratio
0.93x
Current assets divided by current liabilities: the ability to cover obligations due within a year. Above 1.5x is comfortable, below 1x is a warning sign.
Debt / Equity
5.07x
Total interest-bearing debt divided by shareholder equity: how leveraged the balance sheet is.
Return on Equity
40.5%
Net income divided by shareholder equity: how efficiently the company turns equity capital into profit.
News Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment gathered from recent headlines
76/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
BULLISH
Recent News Coverage
Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).
10+ articles
What did this article say?
Venture Global (VG) has lifted its 2026 guidance, targeting roughly $10 billion in EBITDA as gas prices remain robust. The company remains on track to become the largest U.S. LNG exporter by 2027, with key projects progressing on schedule. Analysts raise VG’s fair‑value estimate to $19 per share, underscoring long‑term upside despite short‑term volatility. Risks include potential execution delays, geopolitical factors such as the Iran resolution, and market over‑optimism for 2027.
What did this article say?
Zacks identifies Venture Global (VG) as one of four value stocks recommended for investors seeking growth and return. The article frames VG as a potential bargain amid market volatility, noting its recent price surge and attractive valuation metrics such as P/E and P/B. It cautions that value traps can occur if underlying issues persist, suggesting careful assessment of VG’s future prospects. The recommendation signals a mild bullish stance, positioning VG as a candidate for long‑term upside if fundamentals hold.
What did this article say?
Venture Global (VG) is a named participant in QatarEnergy’s search for long‑term U.S. LNG supplies to replace volumes lost after the Ras Laffan facility damage. The talks target 2‑3 MTPA through 2031, moving VG from spot cargoes to a more stable, multi‑year arrangement. This shift could lock in revenue and reduce exposure to spot market volatility for VG’s U.S. LNG portfolio.
What did this article say?
Venture Global (VG) has signed a 20‑year LNG purchase agreement with China Gas for 0.5 Mtpa of U.S. liquefied natural gas starting in 2030. The contract expands VG’s long‑term offtake to 2.5 Mtpa across its portfolio, reinforcing its position in the Asian market. The deal is expected to provide stable revenue streams and improve VG’s long‑term cash flow profile. Investors should monitor the execution timeline and any potential pricing adjustments under the contract terms.
What did this article say?
Venture Global (VG) and China Gas have signed a 20‑year Sales and Purchase Agreement for 0.5 MTPA of U.S. LNG starting in 2030, increasing VG’s long‑term offtake to 2.5 MTPA. The deal reinforces VG’s position as a key U.S. LNG exporter to China and strengthens its international trading platform. The agreement is expected to provide stable cash flow and enhance VG’s competitive standing in the Asian market.
What did this article say?
Venture Global (VG) has signed a 20‑year LNG supply agreement with China Gas Holdings, committing to deliver 2.5 million tons annually. The deal expands VG’s footprint in the Asian market and locks in long‑term revenue streams amid tightening global LNG demand. The contract’s duration and volume represent a significant boost to VG’s forward‑looking cash flow and strengthen its competitive position against peers.
What did this article say?
Venture Global (VG) is reportedly in talks with QatarEnergy for multi‑year LNG supply contracts to replace volumes lost at the Ras Laffan facility due to Iranian attacks. The negotiations are part of a broader effort by QatarEnergy to secure US LNG contracts through 2031. While no formal agreement has been announced, the potential deal could provide VG with a stable, long‑term customer and help diversify its portfolio. The outcome hinges on QatarEnergy’s ability to finalize contracts and VG’s willingness to commit capacity. Market participants should monitor any formal announcement or pricing terms that could materialize this opportunity.
What did this article say?
Venture Global (VG) shares climbed into a new buy zone after Brent crude rose above $109 a barrel, reflecting a bullish market environment for LNG and natural gas. The rally is driven by higher commodity prices and a favorable supply outlook for VG’s LNG portfolio. Investors should watch for any changes in oil price momentum and VG’s quarterly earnings release for confirmation of the upside.
What did this article say?
Venture Global (VG) is in negotiations with QatarEnergy for multi‑year LNG supply contracts to replace volumes lost at the Ras Laffan facility after Iranian attacks. The talks are part of QatarEnergy’s effort to secure US LNG sources through 2031. While the deal could strengthen VG’s long‑term supply portfolio, the terms and final pricing remain unconfirmed, leaving the upside moderate.
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