DailyIQ
Last updated13 minutes ago

SGI·Somnigroup International Inc.

$62.88
+0.48 (+0.77%)
Overnight$62.87-0.01 (-0.02%)
High
$63.60
Open
$62.83
Market Cap
14.40B
52W High
$98.56
Low
$62.50
P. Close
$62.88
P/E
27.00
52W Low
$60.08
Fwd P/E
16.12
DailyIQ Est.
$95.94
Inst. Ownership
49.1%
Short Interest
8.20%
Days to Cover
6.0
Div. Yield
1.05%
Next Ex-Div
~Nov 19
Technical Score (1D)
27
BEARISH
News Sentiment
71
BULLISH
On the 1D view, SGI is trending bearish with a score of 27 and declining momentum. The SELL signal is technically clear, and price is persistently weak. The nuance is sentiment: at 71, it's diverging from the price action, suggesting news flow hasn't caught up to the selling yet. That gap between technicals and sentiment doesn't invalidate the chart-based read, but it does add a wildcard. If sentiment eventually turns to confirm the weakness, the move likely has further to run. If sentiment holds and draws in buyers near $58.87, a base could form before a recovery toward $65.14. Position sizing should reflect the unresolved nature of this split. One tell worth tracking here is whether volume expands on tests of $58.87 or dries up instead - expansion suggests the technical read is starting to attract confirming sellers, while a fade suggests sentiment's steadier tone is the more accurate signal. Until that resolves, $65.14 remains the level that would invalidate the bearish case outright.
LOW TARGET
$80 +27.3%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$93 +48.6%
7 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$105 +67.0%
8 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$80.00 - $105.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
5/7/3/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$95.94 (+52.6%)
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Symbol
SGI
Description
Somnigroup International Inc. is a global leader in the bedding industry, focused on designing, manufacturing, and distributing a wide range of sleep products. The company's core offerings include mattresses, foundations, and adjustable bases, marketed under well-established brands such as Tempur-Pedic, Sealy, and Stearns & Foster. Somnigroup utilizes a multi-channel distribution strategy, selling directly through its retail stores, online platforms, and call centers, as well as through partnerships with third-party retailers and distributors. With a history tracing back to 1846, the company also operates a diverse portfolio of retail brands, including Mattress Firm, and licenses its technology and trademarks to other manufacturers. Headquartered in Lexington, Kentucky, Somnigroup International Inc. aims to provide consumers with high-quality sleep solutions.
Bought (1Y)
30,000 shares
$1.9M
Sold (1Y)
7,359 shares
$491K
THOMPSON SCOTT LCEO & PRESIDENT
Buy30,000 shares2026-08-27
GLASSMAN KARL GCEO - Leggett & Platt
Award/Grant5,953 shares2026-08-26
GLASSMAN KARL GCEO - Leggett & Platt
Award/Grant8,009 shares2026-08-26
GLASSMAN KARL GCEO - Leggett & Platt
Award/Grant37,282 shares2026-08-26
GLASSMAN KARL GCEO - Leggett & Platt
Award/Grant55,923 shares2026-08-26
78/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
42.6%
Net Margin
5.1%
Revenue CAGR
13.1%
Current Ratio
0.83x
Debt / Equity
1.49x
Return on Equity
12.4%
Earnings Summary
Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI) is a global bedding industry leader that designs, manufactures, and distributes mattresses, foundations, and adjustable bases under premium brands such as Tempur‑Pedic, Sealy, and Stearns & Foster, while also operating retail chains like Mattress Firm and licensing its technology. The company operates in the consumer cyclical furnishings sector, leveraging a multi‑channel distribution strategy that includes direct retail, e‑commerce, and third‑party partners. In the most recent quarter (Q4 2025), SGI reported EPS of $0.72 versus an estimate of $0.73, a slight miss, and revenue of $1.868 billion against an estimate of $1.950 billion, a decline of roughly 4.5% YoY. Compared to Q4 2024, EPS rose modestly from $0.60 to $0.72, while revenue fell from $1.208 billion to $1.868 billion, indicating a revenue acceleration but a modest EPS slowdown. Over the last four quarters, SGI has consistently met or narrowly missed EPS estimates, with revenue growth accelerating in the most recent period. Historically, the company has posted YoY revenue growth of 11.6% in 2025, yet free‑cash‑flow margins have been pressured, as noted by a sell recommendation citing weak competitive positioning and inefficient spending. Recent news highlights SGI’s continued investment in product innovation, marketing, and its distribution network, positioning the firm to capture incremental demand for quality sleep solutions; however, no material surprises were disclosed in the Q2 2026 earnings call.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.48$0.65$0.81$0.97$1.13Q4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.06 - -
Q2'26$0.58$0.58-0.3%
Q4'25$0.73$0.72-1.0%
Q4'24$0.56$0.60+7.2%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.0B$1.4B$1.8B$2.2B$2.6BQ4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.4B - -
Q2'26$1.9B$1.8B-4.1%
Q4'25$2.0B$1.9B-4.2%
Q4'24 - $1.2B -

Market Data

SGI Stock Snapshot

BEARISH27/100
$62.87−$0.01 (0.0%)
Market cap
14.40B
P/E ratio
27.0
Day range
$62.50 – $63.60
News sentiment
71/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$93.44 (+48.6%)
Consensus
Buy · 17 analysts
52-week range+4.6% off low · -36.2% from high
$60.08$98.56
Price $62.87 DailyIQ Est. $95.94

The trend on SGI is bearish, and its momentum ranks in the lower part of DailyIQ's universe. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Consumer Cyclical tend to move together on rotation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into SGI?

RICH

At today's price, Somnigroup International Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 16.4% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 8.93% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 6.9% a year, so the market is asking for 9.5 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis SGI looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
16.4%
Historical FCF CAGR
6.9%
Growth gap
+9.5 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
8.93%
Beta
1.01

Behaviour On Record

What SGI's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
29.5% 36th pct
Below its peak
-36.5%
vs 200-day average
-18.1%
Up days (1y)
44%

Somnigroup International Inc. is currently running 29.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against SGI's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 36th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 33.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

SGI is trading -36.5% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -21.8%, and the deepest was -74.9% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -18.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 12th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year SGI closed higher on 44% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, SGI finished the month higher 4 of 13 times, with a median return of -2.9% and an average of -0.7%. Its strongest month historically has been July at +8.8% on average, its weakest March at -6.5%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: SGI has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 251 of 3,266 sessions (7.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.2% and -14.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,267 daily closes between 2013-10-14 and 2026-10-09, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against SGI's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of SGI's sector?

Somnigroup International Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 7th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#7 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
36

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for SGI?

CallsPuts

For Somnigroup International Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 2 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 0.94), with at-the-money implied volatility around 56.5%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±4.5% move by that expiry — a range of about $59.56–$65.19.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.94
ATM implied volatility
56.5%
Total open interest
2,004
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±4.5% ($59.56–$65.19)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on SGI?

Stephens & Co. most recently upgraded Somnigroup International Inc. to Overweight on Sep 14, 2026 with a price target of $80 (from $66). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
Stephens & Co. — Overweight
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 14, 2026Stephens & Co.UpgradeEqual-Weight → Overweight$66 → $80
Sep 3, 2026Piper SandlerReiteratedOverweight$95 → $100
Sep 3, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$94 → $102
Aug 7, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$105 → $94
Aug 7, 2026Piper SandlerReiteratedOverweight$102 → $95
Aug 7, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$115 → $100
Jul 27, 2026Morgan StanleyInitiatedOverweight$95
Jun 23, 2026Zelman & AssocInitiatedOutperform$99
May 8, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$110 → $105
Apr 30, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$115 → $110
Apr 14, 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratedEqual-Weight$89
Apr 14, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$106 → $96

Peers & ETF holders

SGI peers & ETF holders

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

71/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI) highlighted its robust brand portfolio, including Tempur‑Pedic, Sealy, and Stearns & Foster, as a foundation for continued growth. The company emphasized ongoing investment in product innovation and operational efficiencies to meet evolving consumer demand for sleep wellness. SGI’s extensive distribution network and marketing initiatives are positioned to expand market share across both premium and mainstream segments.
What did this article say?
Somnigroup International (NYSE:SGI) announced its second‑quarter 2026 earnings results during a conference call held on October 5. The company provided a detailed transcript of the discussion, covering financial performance, guidance, and strategic initiatives. No significant deviations from expectations or material updates were highlighted, and the call largely reiterated previously disclosed information. The release offers investors a comprehensive view of SGI’s quarterly operations without indicating any major shifts in outlook.
What did this article say?
Somnigroup (SGI) announced that its recent innovations and strategic partnership with Mattress Firm are expected to strengthen its bedding platform and drive growth. The company highlighted how vertical integration will improve operational efficiency and support future expansion. These developments are viewed as a positive catalyst for SGI’s financial outlook.
What did this article say?
Somnigroup (SGI) was identified as a sell recommendation by StockStory on September 25. The company’s 11.6% annual revenue growth lagged behind peers, and its free cash flow margin was expected to rise only modestly to 12.1% next year. Management’s investment decisions had led to waning returns on capital, raising concerns about future profitability. The analysis highlighted SGI’s weak competitive positioning and inefficient spending as key risks. Overall, the report suggested that SGI’s prospects were limited, warranting a negative outlook.
What did this article say?
Somnigroup International (SGI) reached a multi-year high in February 2026 but has since retraced, reflecting the impact of its recent acquisitions. The company closed a $2.5 billion deal for Leggett & Platt and a $5 billion purchase of Mattress Firm, both aimed at expanding manufacturing and retail footprints. These moves are expected to lift short‑term revenue, yet the added debt and integration challenges create uncertainty about long‑term profitability. SGI’s income statement and balance sheet are currently in flux, prompting a neutral hold rating from analysts.
What did this article say?
Somnigroup International (SGI) is reporting flat top‑line growth, with FY2026 revenue guidance indicating only a 1.7% year‑over‑year increase despite recent acquisitions. The company’s strategy of expanding through acquisitions is expected to dilute existing shareholders, prompting a sell recommendation from analysts.
What did this article say?
Somnigroup (SGI) is highlighted as a consumer stock likely to underperform due to weak revenue growth and competitive pressure. The company’s annual revenue growth has stalled at 11.6% over five years, falling behind peers in the bedding sector. Free cash flow margins are expected to improve modestly, offering limited upside for expansion or shareholder returns. Investors are cautioned to tread carefully given SGI’s lack of recurring revenue and the broader industry’s economic sensitivity.
What did this article say?
Somnigroup International (SGI) finalized an all‑stock merger with Leggett & Platt, a long‑standing components manufacturer, creating a vertically integrated bedding firm. The $2.3 billion transaction gives SGI direct ownership of a key part of its supply chain, improving operational control and cost efficiency. The deal also strengthens SGI’s balance sheet, lowering net leverage to 2.8× EBITDA and raising the expected synergy contribution to $75 million from an earlier $50 million estimate. Management projects the combined entity to achieve higher margins and accelerated growth, positioning SGI for a stronger competitive stance in the sleep‑products market.
What did this article say?
Analyst Jeff Lick at Stephens & Co. upgraded Somnigroup International (SGI) from Equal‑Weight to Overweight and lifted its price target from $66 to $80. The upgrade signals a stronger view on SGI’s earnings prospects and market position. The new target reflects expectations of higher revenue growth and margin expansion in the coming quarters.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

27
BEARISH
Momentum rank against about 1,000 stocks and ETFs for this timeframe.
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $8.87B combined position · 16 adding, 9 trimming, 0 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▼ Sell26,326,26811.49%$2.06B2026-08-13
Vanguard Group Inc▼ Sell18,813,8588.21%$1.68B2026-01-29
BlackRock, Inc.▼ Sell19,229,6448.40%$1.51B2026-08-07
D1 Capital Partners L.P.▲ Buy4,975,3642.17%$390.07M2026-08-14
Artisan Partners Limited Partnership▲ Buy4,663,2752.04%$365.60M2026-08-13
Geode Capital Management, LLC▼ Sell4,005,4791.75%$314.11M2026-08-12
JPMorgan Chase & Co▼ Sell3,743,3111.63%$293.22M2026-08-12
Morgan Stanley▲ Buy3,202,3471.40%$251.06M2026-08-13
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.▲ Buy2,878,4411.26%$225.67M2026-08-14
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▲ Buy2,683,6041.17%$210.39M2026-08-14
Bank of America Corp▲ Buy2,610,0991.14%$204.63M2026-08-14
Third Point LLC▲ Buy2,570,7691.12%$201.55M2026-08-14
Norges Bank▼ Sell2,055,8330.90%$161.18M2026-08-12
Northern Trust Corp▼ Sell1,747,0840.76%$136.97M2026-08-13
Wellington Management Group LLP▼ Sell1,731,2860.76%$135.73M2026-08-14
Citadel Advisors LLC▲ Buy1,702,2320.74%$133.45M2026-09-02
Invesco Ltd.▲ Buy1,644,6080.72%$128.94M2026-08-14
Eminence Capital, LP▲ Buy1,512,9940.66%$111.84M2026-05-15
Neuberger Berman Group LLC▲ Buy1,057,3610.46%$82.87M2026-08-13
Schonfeld Strategic Advisors LLC▲ Buy916,2320.40%$71.83M2026-08-14
Gotham Asset Management, LLC▲ Buy702,3390.31%$55.06M2026-08-14
Citigroup Inc▲ Buy691,1630.30%$54.19M2026-08-03
Balyasny Asset Management L.P.▲ Buy549,0360.24%$43.04M2026-08-14
Marshall Wace, LLP▼ Sell322,4840.14%$25.28M2026-08-13
Wells Fargo & Company▲ Buy290,7970.13%$22.80M2026-08-14
Q2 2026 flow:7.27M sh bought ($570.24M)5.22M sh sold ($409.10M)net +2.06M sh (+$161.14M)
Congressional Trading Activity
14 disclosed trades · ~$303.5K est. traded value · 7 buys, 7 sells
MemberChamberStateTypeAmountTradedFiled
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▼ Sell$100K - $250K2026-08-252026-09-09
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$15K - $50K2026-07-302026-08-03
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-03-312026-04-06
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-03-162026-04-06
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-03-132026-04-06
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-03-092026-04-06
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-02-092026-03-10
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-01-222026-02-02
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-01-122026-02-02
Lisa McClainHouseMI09▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-10-312025-11-21
Lisa McClainHouseMI09▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-10-302025-11-21
Lisa McClainHouseMI09▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-10-302025-11-21
April McClain DelaneyHouseMD06▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-09-192025-10-06
Lisa McClainHouseMI09▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-06-242025-08-13