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VNOM·Viper Energy, Inc.

$44.39
-0.50 (-1.11%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$44.25-0.14 (-0.32%)
High
$44.79
Open
$44.46
Market Cap
16.12B
52W High
$51.50
Low
$44.05
P. Close
$44.39
P/E
273.29
52W Low
$35.10
Fwd P/E
17.81
DailyIQ Est.
$58.19
Inst. Ownership
30.9%
Short Interest
2.79%
Days to Cover
5.6
Technical Score (1D)
68
BUY
News Sentiment
59
BULLISH
Seaport Global’s analyst Vin Lovaglio has just initiated coverage on Viper Energy (VNOM) with a Buy rating and a $54 price target, a move that signals fresh confidence in the company’s growth prospects. The endorsement comes after a review of Viper’s recent operational metrics and its expanding pipeline, suggesting that the firm’s fundamentals are stronger than many peers. Because the rating upgrade is the most recent development, it will likely dominate market sentiment over the next few trading days as investors reassess the stock’s valuation. The $54 target represents a modest upside from current levels, implying that the market may see a gradual rally if the company delivers on its growth narrative. Traders should watch for how the stock reacts to the new coverage, particularly any shift in volume or volatility that could indicate a broader shift in investor perception. Additionally, keep an eye on Viper’s upcoming earnings guidance, as the analyst’s support hinges on the company’s ability to meet or exceed expectations. If earnings come in above the revised target, the Buy rating could be reinforced, potentially leading to a stronger price move. Conversely, a miss could dampen the enthusiasm generated by the new coverage. Monitoring Viper’s quarterly reports and any updates on its exploration projects will be key to gauging whether the analyst’s optimism holds over the next 1–10 trading days.
Earnings Summary
Viper Energy, Inc. is a North American energy company focused on owning and strategically acquiring mineral and royalty interests in oil and natural gas properties, primarily in the Permian Basin, and operates as a subsidiary of Diamondback Energy, positioning it within the oil & gas midstream sector. In Q4 2024, the company reported a strong earnings surprise with EPS of $1.93 versus an estimate of $0.44, while revenue reached $228.7 million; in Q4 2025 EPS nearly matched the estimate at $0.31 and revenue of $435 million fell slightly below the $437.7 million forecast, indicating a slowdown in top‑line growth. Q2 2026 saw revenue jump 128% YoY to $677 million, with EPS of $0.76 slightly below the $0.83 estimate, suggesting margin pressure despite robust production; Q3 2026 data are pending. Historically, Viper has delivered consistent revenue growth, with a 128% YoY increase in Q2 2026, but EPS has fluctuated around analyst expectations, reflecting variable cost dynamics. Recent news highlights a 32% hike in the quarterly cash dividend to $0.50 per share and a $2.00 annual base dividend, tied to a $30/barrel WTI protection clause, signaling confidence in cash flow yet exposing dividend sustainability to commodity price swings; Barclays trimmed the price target to $58, citing margin pressure concerns. Investors should watch for Q3 guidance on production and capital expenditure plans, as any shift could affect cash generation and dividend protection, and monitor WTI price movements that may trigger dividend adjustments or impact valuation.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.06$0.59$1.12$1.65$2.17Q4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.64 - -
Q2'26$0.83$0.76-8.9%
Q4'25$0.31$0.31+0.6%
Q4'24$0.44$1.93+336.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$161M$307M$453M$599M$744MQ4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$594M - -
Q2'26$663M$677M+2.1%
Q4'25$438M$435M-0.6%
Q4'24 - $229M -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

VNOM Stock Snapshot

BUY68/100
$44.25−$0.14 (0.3%)
Market cap
16.12B
P/E ratio
273.3
Day range
$44.05 – $44.79
News sentiment
59/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$55.84 (+26.2%)
Consensus
Buy · 28 analysts
52-week range+26.1% off low · -14.1% from high
$35.10$51.50
Price $44.25 DailyIQ Est. $58.19

Momentum is working in VNOM's favour - the indicator set leans bullish rather than mixed. In Energy, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.

Behaviour On Record

What VNOM's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
23.7% 7th pct
Below its peak
-21.8%
vs 200-day average
+3.7%
Up days (1y)
51%

Viper Energy, Inc. is currently running 23.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against VNOM's own 12 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 7th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 37.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

VNOM is trading -21.8% below its running peak. Across 11 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -31.1%, and the deepest was -80.6% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +3.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 51st percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year VNOM closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 12 years of records, VNOM finished the month higher 4 of 12 times, with a median return of -2.8% and an average of -3.8%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +5.9% on average, its weakest March at -5.0%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: VNOM has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 374 of 3,071 sessions (12.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +25.7% and -10.1%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,072 daily closes between 2014-06-18 and 2026-09-03, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against VNOM's own 12-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of VNOM's sector?

Viper Energy, Inc. sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 1st of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#1 of 11
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
100

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for VNOM?

CallsPuts

For Viper Energy, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 13 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.35), with at-the-money implied volatility around 32.3%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±5.9% move by that expiry — a range of about $42.06–$47.36.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.35
ATM implied volatility
32.3%
Total open interest
9,045
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±5.9% ($42.06–$47.36)

VNOM Competitive Positioning

Viper Energy, Inc. (VNOM) is tracked alongside these names in Oil & Gas Midstream on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.

Held by These ETFs

VNOM is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.