DailyIQ
Last updated13 minutes ago

VNOM·Viper Energy, Inc.

$42.27
-0.65 (-1.51%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$42.27+0.00 (+0.00%)
High
$43.67
Open
$43.08
Market Cap
16.06B
52W High
$51.50
Low
$42.23
P. Close
$42.27
P/E
272.20
52W Low
$35.10
Fwd P/E
16.63
DailyIQ Est.
$57.95
Inst. Ownership
29.6%
Short Interest
2.67%
Days to Cover
7.0
Technical Score (1D)
27
SELL
News Sentiment
68
BULLISH
Viper Energy’s latest filing shows a 32 % hike in its base dividend to $2.00 per Class A share, a move that replaces the company’s former 75 % cash‑return promise. The increase follows a strong Q2, with production climbing to 65,077 barrels per day and net income rising to $142 million, underscoring the firm’s confidence in sustained cash generation. By prioritizing a higher guaranteed payout over quarterly cash‑return commitments, Viper signals a shift toward a more predictable income stream for shareholders, which could make the stock more attractive to income‑focused investors in the next 1–10 trading days. The higher dividend may also lift the company’s valuation multiples, as analysts adjust expectations for future earnings and cash flow. Investors should watch the upcoming earnings release for evidence of continued production growth and any further dividend adjustments, as these will confirm whether the payout hike is sustainable. Additionally, monitoring regulatory developments in the oil and gas sector will be important, as changes in environmental policy could impact Viper’s operating costs and production levels. Finally, keep an eye on market sentiment around dividend changes in the energy sector, as a broader shift toward higher payouts could influence peer valuations and sector rotation.
Earnings Summary
Viper Energy, Inc. is a North American energy company focused on owning and strategically acquiring mineral and royalty interests in oil and natural gas properties, primarily within the Permian Basin, and operates as a subsidiary of Diamondback Energy, positioning it within the oil & gas midstream sector. In Q4 2024, the company reported earnings per share of $1.93 against an estimate of $0.44, while revenue reached $228.7 million, a strong performance that set a high benchmark for the following year. In Q4 2025, EPS rose to $0.31 versus an estimate of $0.31, and revenue of $435 million fell slightly below the $437.7 million estimate, indicating a modest slowdown in top‑line growth but a near‑exact earnings beat. The most recent Q2 2026 results showed EPS of $0.76 versus an estimate of $0.83, and revenue of $677 million versus an estimate of $663 million, reflecting a slight revenue upside but an EPS miss, suggesting margin pressure. Overall, the company has delivered earnings beats in three of the last four quarters, with revenue growth accelerating in 2025 and 2026 but EPS growth decelerating, pointing to tightening profitability. Historically, Viper Energy has maintained a YoY revenue growth trajectory, consistently beating revenue estimates in 2025 and 2026, while EPS has fluctuated around analyst expectations, with a notable miss in Q2 2026. Recent news highlights a 32 % dividend increase to $2 per share and a 4.5 % sequential production growth, underscoring cash‑flow stability and a balanced capital allocation strategy; the announcement coincides with a bullish technical pattern that could serve as a short‑term price catalyst. Investors should watch for the company’s next earnings guidance, particularly any updates on production volumes and commodity price exposure, as these factors will be key to understanding whether the recent dividend hike and revenue upside translate into sustained earnings momentum.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.06$0.59$1.12$1.65$2.17Q4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.65 - -
Q2'26$0.83$0.76-8.9%
Q4'25$0.31$0.31+0.6%
Q4'24$0.44$1.93+336.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$161M$307M$453M$599M$744MQ4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$594M - -
Q2'26$663M$677M+2.1%
Q4'25$438M$435M-0.6%
Q4'24 - $229M -

Market Data

VNOM Stock Snapshot

SELL27/100
$42.27+$0.00 (0.0%)
Market cap
16.06B
P/E ratio
272.2
Day range
$42.23 – $43.67
News sentiment
68/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$55.60 (+31.5%)
Consensus
Buy · 28 analysts
52-week range+20.4% off low · -17.9% from high
$35.10$51.50
Price $42.27 DailyIQ Est. $57.95

Viper Energy, Inc. is trading in the middle of its 52-week range with momentum still pointing lower. In Energy, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.

Behaviour On Record

What VNOM's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
27.7% 17th pct
Below its peak
-26.4%
vs 200-day average
-3.2%
Up days (1y)
51%

Viper Energy, Inc. is currently running 27.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against VNOM's own 12 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 17th percentile unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 37.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

VNOM is trading -26.4% below its running peak. Across 11 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -31.1%, and the deepest was -80.6% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -3.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 37th percentile close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year VNOM closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, VNOM finished the month higher 4 of 13 times, with a median return of -2.8% and an average of -4.0%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +5.9% on average, its weakest March at -5.0%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: VNOM has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 375 of 3,081 sessions (12.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +25.7% and -10.1%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,082 daily closes between 2014-06-18 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against VNOM's own 12-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of VNOM's sector?

Viper Energy, Inc. sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 2nd of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#2 of 11
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
80

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for VNOM?

CallsPuts

For Viper Energy, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 26 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.19), with at-the-money implied volatility around 47.6%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±12.7% move by that expiry — a range of about $41.92–$54.08.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.19
ATM implied volatility
47.6%
Total open interest
1,714
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±12.7% ($41.92–$54.08)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on VNOM?

Seaport Global most recently initiated coverage on Viper Energy, Inc. to Buy on Sep 3, 2026 with a price target of $54. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Seaport GlobalBuy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 3, 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatedBuy$54
Aug 17, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$60 → $58
Aug 4, 2026MizuhoMaintainedOutperform$58 → $56
Jul 20, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$58 → $52
Jun 29, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$49 → $46
May 29, 2026RBC CapitalInitiatedOutperform$58
May 27, 2026MizuhoMaintainedOutperform$54 → $58
May 26, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$58 → $60
May 26, 2026Raymond JamesMaintainedOutperform$60 → $61
May 15, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$60 → $61
May 5, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$54 → $58
Apr 2, 2026KeybancMaintainedOverweight$56 → $65

VNOM Competitive Positioning

Viper Energy, Inc. (VNOM) is tracked alongside these names in Oil & Gas Midstream on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.