SCCO·Southern Copper Corporation

Realized volatility (21d)

29.5% 42nd pct

Below its peak

-6.1%

vs 200-day average

+12.7%

Up days (1y)

51%

Southern Copper Corporation is currently running 29.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against SCCO's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 42nd percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 31.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

SCCO is trading -6.1% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -27.8%, and the deepest was -48.1% in 2018. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +12.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 67th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year SCCO closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, SCCO finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +2.0% and an average of +3.0%. Its strongest month historically has been January at +4.2% on average, its weakest June at -1.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: SCCO has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 282 of 3,267 sessions (8.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +11.0% and -6.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against SCCO's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.