SCCO|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'25 | $1.84 | - | - |
| Q1'25 | $1.10 | $1.16 | +4.8% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'25 | $4.1B | - | - |
| Q1'25 | - | $3.1B | - |
SCCO|Monthly Returns
Market Data
SCCO Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 156.67B
- P/E ratio
- 27.7
- Day range
- $186.64 – $190.95
- News sentiment
- 48/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $171.44 (-8.9%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 19 analysts
SCCO sits in the upper part of its 52-week range with the technical picture unresolved. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into SCCO?
At today's price, Southern Copper Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 39.5% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 11.39% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 6.7% a year, so the market is asking for 32.8 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis SCCO looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 39.5%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 6.7%
- Growth gap
- +32.8 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 11.39%
- Beta
- 1.35
Behaviour On Record
What SCCO's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 59.1% 95th pct
- Below its peak
- -15.2%
- vs 200-day average
- +5.5%
- Up days (1y)
- 52%
Southern Copper Corporation is currently running 59.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against SCCO's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 95th percentile — an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 31.5%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
SCCO is trading -15.2% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -27.8%, and the deepest was -48.1% in 2018. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits +5.5% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 51st percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year SCCO closed higher on 52% of sessions, and it is currently 5 sessions into a falling streak.
On September specifically: over 14 years of records, SCCO finished the month higher 6 of 14 times, with a median return of -2.5% and an average of +1.0%. Its strongest month historically has been January at +4.2% on average, its weakest June at -1.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: SCCO has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 281 of 3,268 sessions (8.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +11.0% and -6.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-16 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against SCCO's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of SCCO's sector?
Southern Copper Corporation sits in the Materials sector, currently ranked 7th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).
- Sector rank
- #7 of 11
- Sector state
- Lagging
- Sector rotation score
- 40
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on SCCO?
Barclays most recently reiterated its rating on Southern Copper Corporation to Underweight on Jul 23, 2026 with a price target of $166 (from $160). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- Barclays — Underweight
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
SCCO Competitive Positioning
- SCCOyou're hereSouthern Copper Corporation$156.7B-0.06%
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